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Monza vs Atalanta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A U-Power Stadium (Brianteo), Monza
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Monza host Atalanta in the Serie A. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Monza have averaged 1.9 scored and 1.73 conceded recently, against Atalanta's 1.48 scored and 1.3 conceded. Head-to-head, Monza have won 0 to Atalanta's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 6, 2025, ending 2:1. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 2.13) point toward Atalanta. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Monza
20%
Draws
50%
Atalanta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atalanta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Monza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Monza a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Atalanta have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Monza Clean Sheet 10%
Atalanta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monza Atalanta
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.9 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2025 Club Friendly
Atalanta vs Monza
2:1
May 4, 2025 Serie A
Monza vs Atalanta
0:4
Oct 30, 2024 Serie A
Atalanta vs Monza
2:0
Apr 21, 2024 Serie A
Monza vs Atalanta
1:2
Sep 2, 2023 Serie A
Atalanta vs Monza
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monza 34 / 100
Atalanta 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monza Atalanta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monza's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Atalanta let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Monza went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monza VS Atalanta
2 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Monza

(Home)
31 Oct
Bologna
2 : 1
Monza
28 Oct
Monza
1 : 4
Napoli
23 Oct
Torino
3 : 2
Monza
19 Oct
Monza
4 : 0
Cagliari
11 Oct
Lazio
3 : 1
Monza
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Atalanta

(Away)
29 Oct
Fiorentina
2 : 2
Atalanta
25 Oct
Atalanta
4 : 4
Frosinone
22 Oct
Ajax
2 : 0
Atalanta
18 Oct
AC Milan
3 : 2
Atalanta
15 Oct
Atalanta
3 : 1
Pafos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter 9 8 1 0 25:10 25
2 Lazio 9 8 1 0 22:7 25
3 AS Roma 9 6 3 0 23:8 21
4 Como 9 6 2 1 17:8 20
5 AC Milan 9 5 3 1 18:11 18
6 Frosinone 9 5 2 2 22:14 17
7 Napoli 9 4 2 3 17:11 14
8 Juventus 9 4 2 3 11:10 14
9 Torino 9 4 1 4 14:14 13
10 Cagliari 9 4 1 4 8:13 13
11 Bologna 9 3 2 4 12:12 11
12 Atalanta 9 3 2 4 16:17 11
13 Genoa 9 3 1 5 8:13 10
14 Lecce 9 3 0 6 10:19 9
15 Sassuolo 9 2 2 5 14:22 8
16 Monza 9 2 1 6 16:22 7
17 Udinese 9 1 2 6 9:18 5
18 Fiorentina 9 1 2 6 11:21 5
19 Parma 9 1 2 6 5:15 5
20 Venezia 9 1 0 8 6:19 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)