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Monza vs Cagliari - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A U-Power Stadium (Brianteo), Monza
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Monza host Cagliari in the Serie A. This one's hard to separate. Monza have averaged 1.93 scored and 1.55 conceded recently, against Cagliari's 1.03 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, Monza have won 2 to Cagliari's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 30, 2025, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.44, favoring Monza. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Monza
20%
Draws
51%
Cagliari
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cagliari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cagliari lately — more wins on the board than Monza.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Monza Clean Sheet 16%
Cagliari Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monza Cagliari
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.93 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.55 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2025 Serie A
Cagliari vs Monza
3:0
Jan 5, 2025 Serie A
Monza vs Cagliari
1:2
Mar 16, 2024 Serie A
Monza vs Cagliari
1:0
Nov 26, 2023 Serie A
Cagliari vs Monza
1:1
Mar 11, 2001 Serie B
Monza vs Cagliari
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monza 31 / 100
Cagliari 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monza Cagliari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monza found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Monza remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Cagliari conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Monza VS Cagliari
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 25%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Monza

(Home)
03 Oct
Brest
2 : 2
Monza
26 Sept
Monza
2 : 3
Cremonese
18 Sept
Monza
2 : 1
Sassuolo
13 Sept
Lecce
3 : 2
Monza
06 Sept
Parma
1 : 1
Monza
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Cagliari

(Away)
19 Sept
Udinese
0 : 1
Cagliari
12 Sept
Atalanta
1 : 2
Cagliari
07 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 0
Lecce
03 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 2
Verona
30 Aug
Cagliari
0 : 1
Inter
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma 5 4 1 0 14:3 13
2 Inter 5 4 1 0 15:8 13
3 Lazio 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
4 Cagliari 5 4 0 1 5:2 12
5 AC Milan 5 3 2 0 10:4 11
6 Frosinone 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
7 Juventus 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
8 Como 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
9 Napoli 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Sassuolo 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
11 Atalanta 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
12 Lecce 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
13 Udinese 5 1 1 3 8:11 4
14 Torino 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
15 Parma 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
16 Monza 5 1 1 3 8:12 4
17 Fiorentina 5 1 1 3 6:12 4
18 Bologna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Genoa 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
20 Venezia 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)