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Monza vs Cremonese

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cremonese in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cremonese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Monza
30%
Draws
43%
Cremonese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cremonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Monza lately — more wins on the board than Cremonese.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Monza Clean Sheet 16%
Cremonese Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monza Cremonese
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.93 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Monza vs Cremonese
2:3
Mar 18, 2023 Serie A
Monza vs Cremonese
1:1
Jan 14, 2023 Serie A
Cremonese vs Monza
2:3
Feb 6, 2022 Serie B
Cremonese vs Monza
3:2
Aug 29, 2021 Serie B
Monza vs Cremonese
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monza 31 / 100
Cremonese 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monza Cremonese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Monza scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Cremonese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Monza has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Monza VS Cremonese
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Monza

(Home)
26 Sept
Monza
2 : 3
Cremonese
18 Sept
Monza
2 : 1
Sassuolo
13 Sept
Lecce
3 : 2
Monza
06 Sept
Parma
1 : 1
Monza
01 Sept
Torino
0 : 1
Monza
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Cremonese

(Away)
26 Sept
Monza
2 : 3
Cremonese
19 Sept
Cremonese
0 : 0
Entella
12 Sept
Cesena
2 : 2
Cremonese
06 Sept
Cremonese
3 : 1
Padova
01 Sept
Parma
0 : 2
Cremonese
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