Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monza vs Palermo

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 U-Power Stadium (Brianteo), Monza
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Petagna A.
28'
Palumbo A.
41'
Hernani

AI Match Summary

Monza in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Monza
6%
Draws
90%
Palermo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Palermo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Monza lately — more wins on the board than Palermo.
  • Win probability leans Palermo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Monza have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Monza Clean Sheet 10%
Palermo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monza Palermo
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 20 17
Draws 7 10
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.88 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Serie B
Monza vs Palermo
3:0
Oct 28, 2025 Serie B
Palermo vs Monza
0:3
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Monza vs Palermo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monza Compare

Top Goalscorer Petagna A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ciurria P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Palermo Compare

Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monza 10 / 100
Palermo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monza Palermo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monza found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (33 games).

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Monza stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Palermo has conceded goals in 56% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Monza VS Palermo
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Monza

(Home)
30 Jul
Monza
1 : 3
Aris
24 Jul
Galatasaray
0 : 2
Monza
18 Jul
Monza
4 : 3
Pro Vercelli
29 May
Monza
0 : 2
Catanzaro
24 May
Catanzaro
0 : 2
Monza
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Palermo

(Away)
29 Jul
Palermo
1 : 1
Iraklis FC
25 Jul
Palermo
2 : 2
Nurnberg
22 Jul
Palermo
7 : 0
Paradiso
18 Jul
Ingolstadt
1 : 0
Palermo
15 Jul
Palermo
8 : 0
FC Gherdeina
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Venezia382410477:3182
2Frosinone382312376:3481
3Monza382210661:3276
4Palermo382012661:3372
5Catanzaro381514962:5159
6Modena3815101349:3655
7Juve Stabia381118944:4551
8Avellino3813101543:5549
9Mantova381371845:5746
10Padova3812101639:4946
11Cesena3812101645:5646
12Carrarese3810141447:5244
13Sampdoria3811111635:4844
14Entella3810121636:5142
15Empoli389141547:5441
16Sudtirol388171338:4841
17Bari3810101838:6040
18Reggiana389101936:5637
19Spezia388111943:5935
20Pescara387141751:6635
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)