Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monza vs Sassuolo

Italy Italy

Serie A U-Power Stadium (Brianteo), Monza
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Kouadio E.
51' Event
Varela G.
Assist: Birindelli S.
56'
Sub
Cutrone P. In: Mota D.
Out: Cutrone P.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A game between Monza and Sassuolo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Monza
20%
Draws
47%
Sassuolo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sassuolo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Monza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Monza have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Monza Clean Sheet 13%
Sassuolo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monza Sassuolo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.9 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Serie A
Monza vs Sassuolo
2:1
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Monza vs Sassuolo
2:2
Jan 28, 2024 Serie A
Monza vs Sassuolo
1:0
Oct 2, 2023 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Monza
0:1
May 19, 2023 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Monza
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monza Compare

Top Goalscorer Varela G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sassuolo Compare

Top Goalscorer Adzic V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monza 31 / 100
Sassuolo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monza Sassuolo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sassuolo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monza scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Sassuolo conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Monza went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monza VS Sassuolo
2 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Monza

(Home)
18 Sept
Monza
2 : 1
Sassuolo
13 Sept
Lecce
3 : 2
Monza
06 Sept
Parma
1 : 1
Monza
01 Sept
Torino
0 : 1
Monza
29 Aug
Monza
2 : 3
Udinese
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Sassuolo

(Away)
18 Sept
Monza
2 : 1
Sassuolo
13 Sept
Sassuolo
3 : 2
Juventus
06 Sept
Bologna
2 : 2
Sassuolo
02 Sept
Sassuolo
2 : 1
Frosinone
29 Aug
Sassuolo
2 : 1
Torino
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma 5 4 1 0 14:3 13
2 Inter 5 4 1 0 15:8 13
3 Lazio 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
4 Cagliari 5 4 0 1 5:2 12
5 AC Milan 5 3 2 0 10:4 11
6 Frosinone 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
7 Juventus 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
8 Como 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
9 Napoli 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Sassuolo 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
11 Atalanta 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
12 Lecce 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
13 Udinese 5 1 1 3 8:11 4
14 Torino 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
15 Parma 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
16 Monza 5 1 1 3 8:12 4
17 Fiorentina 5 1 1 3 6:12 4
18 Bologna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Genoa 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
20 Venezia 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)