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Monza vs Udinese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A U-Power Stadium (Brianteo), Monza
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Piotrowski J.
Assist: Kamara H.
37' Event
Colpani A.
Assist: Mangas R.
45' Event
Kamara H.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A game between Monza and Udinese finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Udinese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Monza
15%
Draws
21%
Udinese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Monza come out ahead of Udinese on wins alone.
  • Monza are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Monza Clean Sheet 68%
Udinese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monza Udinese
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.93 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Serie A
Monza vs Udinese
2:3
May 11, 2025 Serie A
Udinese vs Monza
1:2
Dec 9, 2024 Serie A
Monza vs Udinese
1:2
Feb 3, 2024 Serie A
Udinese vs Monza
0:0
Oct 29, 2023 Serie A
Monza vs Udinese
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monza Compare

Top Goalscorer Colpani A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Varela G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Udinese Compare

Top Goalscorer Piotrowski J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kamara H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monza 86 / 100
Udinese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monza Udinese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monza's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Udinese has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Udinese's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Monza VS Udinese
2 Goals Scored 0.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Monza

(Home)
31 Oct
Bologna
2 : 1
Monza
28 Oct
Monza
1 : 4
Napoli
23 Oct
Torino
3 : 2
Monza
19 Oct
Monza
4 : 0
Cagliari
11 Oct
Lazio
3 : 1
Monza
Page 1 of 6

Udinese

(Away)
31 Oct
Udinese
2 : 5
AS Roma
28 Oct
Parma
0 : 0
Udinese
25 Oct
Udinese
0 : 2
AC Milan
18 Oct
Udinese
0 : 3
Lecce
12 Oct
Torino
2 : 1
Udinese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lazio 10 9 1 0 24:8 28
2 Inter 10 8 1 1 26:13 25
3 AS Roma 10 7 3 0 28:10 24
4 Como 10 7 2 1 18:8 23
5 AC Milan 10 6 3 1 21:12 21
6 Frosinone 10 6 2 2 24:14 20
7 Juventus 10 5 2 3 13:10 17
8 Napoli 10 4 2 4 17:13 14
9 Bologna 10 4 2 4 14:13 14
10 Torino 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
11 Genoa 10 4 1 5 10:14 13
12 Cagliari 10 4 1 5 9:15 13
13 Atalanta 10 3 2 5 16:20 11
14 Lecce 10 3 0 7 11:21 9
15 Parma 10 2 2 6 8:15 8
16 Fiorentina 10 2 2 6 15:23 8
17 Sassuolo 10 2 2 6 16:26 8
18 Monza 10 2 1 7 17:24 7
19 Venezia 11 2 0 9 8:21 6
20 Udinese 11 1 2 8 12:25 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)