Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monza vs Udinese

Italy Italy

Serie A U-Power Stadium (Brianteo), Monza
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Piotrowski J.
Assist: Kamara H.
37' Event
Colpani A.
Assist: Mangas R.
45' Event
Kamara H.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A game between Monza and Udinese finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Udinese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Monza
20%
Draws
52%
Udinese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Udinese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Monza come out ahead of Udinese on wins alone.
  • 52% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Monza Clean Sheet 16%
Udinese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monza Udinese
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.9 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Serie A
Monza vs Udinese
2:3
May 11, 2025 Serie A
Udinese vs Monza
1:2
Dec 9, 2024 Serie A
Monza vs Udinese
1:2
Feb 3, 2024 Serie A
Udinese vs Monza
0:0
Oct 29, 2023 Serie A
Monza vs Udinese
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monza Compare

Top Goalscorer Colpani A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Varela G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Udinese Compare

Top Goalscorer Piotrowski J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kamara H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monza 31 / 100
Udinese 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monza Udinese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Udinese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monza's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Udinese has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Monza stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monza VS Udinese
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Monza

(Home)
29 Aug
Monza
2 : 3
Udinese
22 Aug
Inter
4 : 1
Monza
14 Aug
Monza
3 : 0
Avellino
07 Aug
Monza
3 : 3
Padova
04 Aug
Monza
4 : 2
AC Milan U23
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Udinese

(Away)
29 Aug
Monza
2 : 3
Udinese
22 Aug
Udinese
1 : 1
Como
15 Aug
Udinese
1 : 0
Padova
08 Aug
Udinese
1 : 0
Barcelona
08 Aug
Udinese
1 : 0
Nottingham
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma 2 2 0 0 8:0 6
2 Inter 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 AC Milan 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
4 Juventus 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
5 Atalanta 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
6 Lazio 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
7 Udinese 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
8 Como 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
9 Frosinone 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
10 Napoli 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
11 Sassuolo 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
12 Cagliari 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
13 Lecce 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
14 Torino 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
15 Bologna 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
16 Genoa 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
17 Parma 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
18 Monza 2 0 0 2 3:7 0
19 Venezia 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
20 Fiorentina 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)