Sport Picks
Match Events
17'
17'
Sub
Rengifo H. In: Bauman J.
Out: Rengifo H.
21'
21'
Collazos J.
Assist: Lastre E.
24'
24'
Sub
Granda J. In: Ramirez C.
Out: Granda J.
AI Match Summary
The Liga 1 game between Moquegua and AD Tarma finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Tarma
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- AD Tarma's 1.2 goals per match outpaces what Moquegua have produced (0.94).
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Moquegua Clean Sheet 18%
AD Tarma Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Moquegua | AD Tarma |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.94 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.44 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 27, 2026 Copa de la Liga
AD Tarma vs Moquegua
2:0
May 9, 2026 Liga 1
Moquegua vs AD Tarma
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Moquegua Compare
Top Goalscorer Collazos J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
AD Tarma Compare
Top Goalscorer Rojas J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gomez L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Moquegua 32 / 100
AD Tarma 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Moquegua AD Tarma
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AD Tarma let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
AD Tarma lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Moquegua's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Moquegua VS AD Tarma
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Moquegua
(Home) 20 Sept
Juan Pablo II
4 : 0 Moquegua
13 Sept
Moquegua
1 : 2 Sporting Cristal
05 Sept
Cusco
2 : 0 Moquegua
30 Aug
Moquegua
1 : 4 Alianza Atl.
27 Aug
AD Tarma
2 : 0 Moquegua
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Moquegua
1 : 2 Sporting Cristal
30 Aug
Moquegua
1 : 4 Alianza Atl.
16 Aug
Moquegua
1 : 1 Sport Boys
02 Aug
Moquegua
0 : 0 FBC Melgar
18 Jul
Moquegua
2 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
Page 1 of 4
AD Tarma
(Away) 01 Oct
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0 AD Tarma
27 Sept
AD Tarma
0 : 1 Sporting Cristal
23 Sept
AD Tarma
2 : 1 Cienciano
19 Sept
A. Lima
2 : 0 AD Tarma
06 Sept
FBC Melgar
3 : 0 AD Tarma
Page 1 of 6
01 Oct
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0 AD Tarma
19 Sept
A. Lima
2 : 0 AD Tarma
06 Sept
FBC Melgar
3 : 0 AD Tarma
22 Aug
Juan Pablo II
5 : 1 AD Tarma
08 Aug
Cajamarca
1 : 1 AD Tarma
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario de Deportes | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl. | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | AD Tarma | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | 16 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
