Sport Picks
Moquegua vs Universitario de Deportes
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio 25 de Noviembre 
AI Match Summary
Moquegua play Universitario de Deportes in the Liga 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Moquegua averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. Universitario de Deportes averaged 1.31 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Moquegua won 0, Universitario de Deportes won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 23, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for Moquegua and 1.06 for Universitario de Deportes. This points to a Universitario de Deportes double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Moquegua picked up more points recently compared to Universitario de Deportes.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.75 vs 1.06 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Moquegua | Universitario de Deportes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Moquegua scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Universitario de Deportes let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.
Games between these two average 0.00 goals.
Moquegua went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Universitario de Deportes lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario de Deportes | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl. | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | AD Tarma | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | 16 |