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Moquegua vs A. Lima - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio 25 de Noviembre, Moquegua
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
06:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Moquegua host A. Lima in the Liga 1. This one's hard to separate. Moquegua have averaged 0.9 scored and 1.34 conceded recently, against A. Lima's 1.53 scored and 0.9 conceded. Head-to-head, Moquegua have won 0 to A. Lima's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 1.56, favoring A. Lima. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Moquegua
15%
Draws
85%
A. Lima
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: A. Lima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to A. Lima lately — more wins on the board than Moquegua.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on A. Lima taking it.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Moquegua Clean Sheet 15%
A. Lima Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moquegua A. Lima
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0.9 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Moquegua
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moquegua 10 / 100
A. Lima 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moquegua A. Lima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick A. Lima Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

A. Lima let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Moquegua found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Away concern: A. Lima has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Moquegua VS A. Lima
0.63 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Moquegua

(Home)
08 Oct
Moquegua
0 : 2
Cienciano
20 Sept
Juan Pablo II
4 : 0
Moquegua
13 Sept
Moquegua
1 : 2
Sporting Cristal
05 Sept
Cusco
2 : 0
Moquegua
30 Aug
Moquegua
1 : 4
Alianza Atl.
Page 1 of 6

A. Lima

(Away)
11 Oct
Cusco
1 : 2
A. Lima
01 Oct
A. Lima
1 : 2
Palestino
19 Sept
A. Lima
2 : 0
AD Tarma
13 Sept
A. Lima
1 : 2
Universitario de Deportes
06 Sept
Juan Pablo II
1 : 1
A. Lima
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Cristal 11 7 1 3 21:10 22
2 Deportivo Garcilaso 11 7 1 3 18:7 22
3 Alianza Atl. 11 7 1 3 23:18 22
4 Sport Huancayo 11 7 1 3 17:13 22
5 Universitario de Deportes 11 6 3 2 21:18 21
6 Juan Pablo II 11 5 4 2 21:13 19
7 FBC Melgar 11 5 4 2 18:11 19
8 A. Lima 11 5 4 2 16:11 19
9 Sport Boys 11 5 3 3 15:10 18
10 Cusco 11 6 0 5 20:16 18
11 Atletico Grau 11 5 2 4 14:13 17
12 Cienciano 11 3 2 6 14:18 11
13 FC Cajamarca 11 3 2 6 18:24 11
14 Comerciantes Unidos 11 2 4 5 18:19 10
15 Los Chankas 11 2 3 6 11:24 9
16 Moquegua 11 1 4 6 7:19 7
17 AD Tarma 11 1 3 7 7:21 6
18 Cajamarca 11 0 2 9 11:25 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)