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Moquegua vs Los Chankas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio 25 de Noviembre, Moquegua
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Moquegua host Los Chankas in the Liga 1. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Los Chankas have shipped 1.6 goals a game lately, while Moquegua have conceded 1.34 and scored 0.9. Past meetings favor Los Chankas slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.50 - 1.50) back Los Chankas to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Moquegua
20%
Draws
50%
Los Chankas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Los Chankas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Los Chankas have won more games recently than Moquegua.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Moquegua Clean Sheet 16%
Los Chankas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moquegua Los Chankas
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.9 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs Moquegua
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moquegua 36 / 100
Los Chankas 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moquegua Los Chankas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Los Chankas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Chankas has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Moquegua scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Moquegua has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Moquegua VS Los Chankas
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Moquegua

(Home)
18 Oct
FC Cajamarca
0 : 1
Moquegua
08 Oct
Moquegua
0 : 2
Cienciano
20 Sept
Juan Pablo II
4 : 0
Moquegua
13 Sept
Moquegua
1 : 2
Sporting Cristal
05 Sept
Cusco
2 : 0
Moquegua
Page 1 of 6

Los Chankas

(Away)
16 Oct
Los Chankas
2 : 1
AD Tarma
08 Oct
Atletico Grau
0 : 0
Los Chankas
30 Sept
Cienciano
1 : 1
Los Chankas
12 Sept
Los Chankas
1 : 2
FC Cajamarca
06 Sept
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0
Los Chankas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Cristal 12 8 1 3 25:12 25
2 Sport Huancayo 12 8 1 3 19:14 25
3 Universitario de Deportes 12 7 3 2 25:19 24
4 Juan Pablo II 12 6 4 2 23:13 22
5 FBC Melgar 12 6 4 2 22:13 22
6 Deportivo Garcilaso 12 7 1 4 20:11 22
7 A. Lima 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
8 Alianza Atl. 12 7 1 4 24:22 22
9 Cusco 12 6 0 6 21:18 18
10 Sport Boys 12 5 3 4 15:12 18
11 Atletico Grau 12 5 2 5 15:16 17
12 Cienciano 12 4 2 6 15:18 14
13 Los Chankas 12 3 3 6 13:25 12
14 FC Cajamarca 12 3 2 7 18:25 11
15 Comerciantes Unidos 12 2 4 6 20:23 10
16 Moquegua 12 2 4 6 8:19 10
17 AD Tarma 12 1 3 8 8:23 6
18 Cajamarca 12 0 2 10 11:26 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)