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Mora CF vs Alcazar Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 18 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 18 2013/2014 game between Mora CF and Alcazar finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mora CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Mora CF
15%
Draws
21%
Alcazar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mora CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Mora CF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Mora CF a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 18 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mora CF here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Mora CF Clean Sheet 20%
Alcazar Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mora CF Alcazar
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 1
Draws 5 4
Losses 18 25
Goals Scored 0.77 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.45 3.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Mora CF vs Alcazar
4:2
Sep 21, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Alcazar vs Mora CF
0:4
Feb 2, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Mora CF vs Alcazar
2:1
Sep 22, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Alcazar vs Mora CF
1:2
Apr 7, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Mora CF vs Alcazar
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mora CF 85 / 100
Alcazar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mora CF Alcazar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mora CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Alcazar conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Alcazar's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Mora CF scored in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mora CF VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mora CF

(Home)
17 Nov
San Agustin
6 : 2
Mora CF
19 May
Toledo
2 : 1
Mora CF
12 May
Mora CF
2 : 1
CD Tarancon
05 May
La Solana
1 : 0
Mora CF
27 Apr
Mora CF
0 : 1
Marchamalo
Page 1 of 7

Alcazar

(Away)
16 May
Alcazar
2 : 3
Villarrobledo
10 May
Albacete B
12 : 0
Alcazar
02 May
Alcazar
0 : 1
Quintanar del Rey
26 Apr
Manzanares
4 : 0
Alcazar
19 Apr
Alcazar
0 : 0
Atletico Ibanes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Puertollano 38 31 5 2 88:18 98
2 Socuellamos 38 25 8 5 72:26 83
3 Villarrobledo 38 22 10 6 80:32 76
4 UD Almansa 38 20 12 6 53:36 72
5 CF Talavera 38 21 9 8 72:34 72
6 Villarrubia 38 16 10 12 48:56 58
7 CD Pedroneras 38 14 12 12 42:50 54
8 La Gineta 38 12 12 14 51:55 48
9 Atletico Ibanes 38 11 14 13 44:50 47
10 Quintanar del Rey 38 12 11 15 44:56 47
11 Manzanares 38 11 12 15 41:46 45
12 Albacete B 38 10 13 15 45:58 43
13 Manchego Ciudad Real 38 10 13 15 43:54 43
14 Hellin Deportivo 38 10 13 15 35:40 43
15 Alcazar 38 11 8 19 46:56 41
16 Mora CF 38 12 4 22 37:63 40
17 Madridejos 38 8 14 16 30:41 38
18 Illescas 38 8 12 18 39:59 36
19 Azuqueca 38 9 9 20 36:53 36
20 EF Zona 5 Albacete 38 2 9 27 34:97 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)