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Morabeza vs Estrela dos Amadores

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Morabeza in this Campeonato Nacional 2009 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Morabeza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Morabeza
35%
Draws
25%
Estrela dos Amadores
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Morabeza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Morabeza have won more games recently than Estrela dos Amadores.
  • Morabeza are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Morabeza Clean Sheet 20%
Estrela dos Amadores Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morabeza Estrela dos Amadores
Matches Played 31 10
Wins 8 3
Draws 13 2
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 0.94 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2009 Campeonato Nacional
Morabeza vs Estrela dos Amadores
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morabeza 42 / 100
Estrela dos Amadores 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morabeza Estrela dos Amadores

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Estrela dos Amadores conceded in 80% of 10 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Morabeza scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Morabeza remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Morabeza VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Morabeza

(Home)
15 Jun
GD Varandinha
1 : 2
Morabeza
09 Jun
Morabeza
1 : 1
Barreirense
26 May
Morabeza
2 : 2
Palmeira
18 May
Palmeira
2 : 0
Morabeza
12 May
Barreirense
0 : 1
Morabeza
Page 1 of 7

Estrela dos Amadores

(Away)
03 Jun
Sporting Praia
2 : 2
Estrela dos Amadores
27 May
Estrela dos Amadores
5 : 0
Associacao Academica da Brava
19 May
FC Juventude Sal
3 : 1
Estrela dos Amadores
12 May
Academica do Fogo
0 : 0
Estrela dos Amadores
05 May
Estrela dos Amadores
0 : 2
Batuque FC
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academica Praia 5 4 1 0 10:5 13
2 Mindelense 5 4 0 1 13:4 12
3 Ultramarina 5 2 1 2 11:6 7
4 Onze Unidos 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
5 Santa Maria 5 0 2 3 6:13 2
6 Foguetoes 5 0 1 4 3:15 1
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2009 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Praia 5 4 1 0 11:1 13
2 SC do Porto Novo 5 3 0 2 9:6 9
3 Vulcanico 5 2 1 2 3:4 7
4 Morabeza 5 2 1 2 4:8 7
5 Estrela dos Amadores 5 2 0 3 7:8 6
6 Academica Boavista 5 0 1 4 2:9 1
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2009 (Play Offs)