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Morabeza vs Figueirense

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2023 game between Morabeza and Figueirense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Morabeza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Morabeza
30%
Draws
23%
Figueirense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Morabeza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Morabeza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Morabeza are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Morabeza Clean Sheet 20%
Figueirense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morabeza Figueirense
Matches Played 33 6
Wins 9 1
Draws 14 2
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 0.94 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2023 Campeonato Nacional
Figueirense vs Morabeza
0:0
May 12, 2023 Campeonato Nacional
Morabeza vs Figueirense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morabeza 49 / 100
Figueirense 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morabeza Figueirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morabeza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Figueirense let in goals in 83% of their last 6 matches.

Morabeza's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Morabeza has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Figueirense's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Morabeza VS Figueirense
1 Goals Scored 1.33
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.83
50% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 67%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Morabeza

(Home)
15 Jun
GD Varandinha
1 : 2
Morabeza
09 Jun
Morabeza
1 : 1
Barreirense
26 May
Morabeza
2 : 2
Palmeira
18 May
Palmeira
2 : 0
Morabeza
12 May
Barreirense
0 : 1
Morabeza
Page 1 of 7

Figueirense

(Away)
11 Jun
GD Varandinha
2 : 4
Figueirense
04 Jun
Figueirense
1 : 4
Academica do Mindelo
21 May
Figueirense
0 : 0
Morabeza
12 May
Morabeza
1 : 0
Figueirense
30 Apr
Academica do Mindelo
2 : 1
Figueirense
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mindelense 6 4 2 0 6:0 14
2 Travadores 6 3 0 3 10:6 9
3 Santo Crucifixo 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
4 Juventude 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeira 6 4 0 2 10:6 12
2 Vulcanico Clube 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
3 Belo Horizonte 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
4 Sanjoanenses 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academica do Mindelo 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Morabeza 6 2 4 0 6:4 10
3 Figueirense 6 1 2 3 8:11 5
4 GD Varandinha 6 0 3 3 6:11 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams