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Moragasmulla vs Renown

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Champions League 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Renown in this Champions League 2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Renown.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Moragasmulla
20%
Draws
80%
Renown
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Renown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Renown have won more games recently than Moragasmulla.
  • Model gives Renown a 80% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League 2017 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Moragasmulla Clean Sheet 10%
Renown Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moragasmulla Renown
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 1 17
Draws 3 6
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.15 1.97
Goals Conceded 3.1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 3.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2025 Super League
Moragasmulla vs Renown
0:8
Sep 16, 2017 Super League
Moragasmulla vs Renown
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moragasmulla 10 / 100
Renown 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moragasmulla Renown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Renown Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.50 goals as a typical output.

Moragasmulla's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Defensive concern: Renown conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Renown's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Moragasmulla VS Renown
1.33 Goals Scored 2.38
4.67 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Moragasmulla

(Home)
05 Jul
Moragasmulla
0 : 8
Renown
28 Jun
Red Star
2 : 1
Moragasmulla
15 Jun
Java Lane
4 : 3
Moragasmulla
22 Dec
Blue Eagles
7 : 0
Moragasmulla
17 Dec
Moragasmulla
3 : 4
Super Sun
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Renown

(Away)
13 Sept
Renown
0 : 2
UP Country Lions
04 Sept
Blue Eagles
2 : 0
Renown
29 Aug
Blue Star
2 : 3
Renown
25 Aug
Sea Hawks
2 : 2
Renown
15 Aug
Renown
0 : 0
Red Star
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombo 17 12 4 1 46:11 40
2 Renown 17 12 4 1 44:18 40
3 New Young's SC 17 9 5 3 34:15 32
4 Super Sun 17 9 4 4 27:17 31
5 Pelicans SC 17 8 5 4 25:17 29
6 Blue Eagles 17 7 7 3 24:14 28
7 Matara City 17 7 6 4 28:17 27
8 Solid 17 6 5 6 26:28 23
9 Defenders FC 17 6 4 7 26:17 22
10 Saunders 17 5 7 5 21:24 22
11 Sea Hawks 17 6 2 9 23:26 20
12 UP Country Lions 17 6 2 9 36:51 20
13 Blue Star 17 4 6 7 18:27 18
14 Java Lane 17 4 5 8 19:30 17
15 Negombo Youth 17 5 2 10 24:41 17
16 Crystal Palace 17 4 4 9 23:39 16
17 Sri Lanka Police 17 4 1 12 18:41 13
18 Moragasmulla 17 1 3 13 19:48 6
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