Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2014/2015

Atletico San Jose Promesas

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Moralo play Atletico San Jose Promesas in the Tercera Division - Group 14 2014/2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Moralo averaged 1.47 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. Atletico San Jose Promesas averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Moralo won 4, Atletico San Jose Promesas won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 17, 2016 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Moralo and 0.69 for Atletico San Jose Promesas. This points to a Moralo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%

Moralo

22%

Draws

25%

Atletico San Jose Promesas

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Moralo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

Moralo picked up more points recently compared to Atletico San Jose Promesas.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 0.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 43%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Moralo Clean Sheet 28%

Atletico San Jose Promesas Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Moralo	Atletico San Jose Promesas
Matches Played	47	30
Wins	27	9
Draws	11	7
Losses	9	14
Goals Scored	1.47	0.9
Goals Conceded	0.77	1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Moralo vs Atletico San Jose Promesas

Possession: 42% - 58% Cards: 1 - 4

1:0

Nov 22, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Atletico San Jose Promesas vs Moralo

Possession: 48% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

Apr 30, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Moralo vs Atletico San Jose Promesas

Possession: 58% - 47% Cards: 0 - 3

2:1

Dec 14, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Atletico San Jose Promesas vs Moralo

Possession: 41% - 44% Cards: 0 - 3

1:3

Feb 9, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Moralo vs Atletico San Jose Promesas

Possession: 54% - 54% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moralo 53 / 100

Atletico San Jose Promesas 25 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Moralo Atletico San Jose Promesas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moralo Win (1)

Secondary Pick Moralo & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.7%

2.22

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.1%

2.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Moralo attacking → ← attacking Atletico San Jose Promesas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moralo scored in 79% of their last 47 games.

Atletico San Jose Promesas let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Moralo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Atletico San Jose Promesas lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

92 Points in last 5 34

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	AD Merida	38	31	5	2	101:20	98
2	Extremadura UD	38	26	9	3	86:24	87
3	Jerez CF	38	25	6	7	70:18	81
4	CD Badajoz	38	23	8	7	71:31	77
5	CD Coria	38	20	6	12	55:40	66
6	Moralo	38	19	8	11	65:44	65
7	Don Benito	38	18	10	10	48:37	64
8	CD Azuaga	38	15	10	13	44:44	55
9	Pueblonuevo	38	13	13	12	50:42	52
10	Santa Amalia	38	15	6	17	44:50	51
11	Diter Zafra	38	12	14	12	51:48	50
12	Fuente de Cantos	38	12	6	20	39:61	42
13	Atletico San Jose Promesas	38	13	3	22	48:75	42
14	Olivenza FC	38	11	7	20	46:69	40
15	CP Valdivia	38	10	7	21	43:73	37
16	Sanvicenteno	38	9	7	22	34:61	34
17	Deportivo Pacense	38	9	6	23	46:93	33
18	Castuera	38	8	9	21	39:68	33
19	UP Plasencia	38	6	9	23	49:83	27
20	Hernan Cortes	38	6	9	23	35:83	27