Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Moralo host Castuera in the Tercera RFEF - Group 14. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Moralo at 1.45 goals for, 0.68 against; Castuera at 1.43 for, 1.93 against. Head-to-head, Moralo have won 3 to Castuera's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 2, 2025, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 0.63 vs 1.04, favoring Moralo. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Moralo have won more games recently than Castuera.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Moralo taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Moralo | Castuera |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 7 |
| Draws | 10 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.68 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Moralo scored in 81% of their last 31 games.
Castuera let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Moralo stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Moralo
(Home)Castuera
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Azuaga | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Moralo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 11 |
| 3 | AD Llerenense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 10 |
| 4 | Castuera | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Puebla de la Calzada | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 6 | Gevora | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:9 | 8 |
| 7 | CD Zafra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 9 | Santa Amalia | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 10 | SP Villafranca | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:8 | 6 |
| 11 | Montijo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 12 | Cabeza del Buey | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 13 | Jerez CF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 14 | Jaraiz | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 15 | Quintana | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 16 | Pueblonuevo | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 17 | UP Plasencia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 18 | Guadiana | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:11 | 1 |
