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Moralo vs CD Azuaga

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Silva Reis R. W.
83' Event
Vera A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Moralo
35%
Draws
30%
CD Azuaga
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Moralo lately — more wins on the board than CD Azuaga.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Moralo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Moralo Clean Sheet 17%
CD Azuaga Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moralo CD Azuaga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 15
Draws 9 7
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.4 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.7 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Moralo vs CD Azuaga
0:0
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs Moralo
0:1
Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Moralo vs CD Azuaga
1:1
Dec 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs Moralo
1:2
Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs Moralo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moralo Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva Reis R. W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

CD Azuaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Vera A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moralo 36 / 100
CD Azuaga 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moralo CD Azuaga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Moralo scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Moralo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

CD Azuaga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Moralo VS CD Azuaga
1.5 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Moralo

(Home)
07 Jun
CD Badajoz
0 : 0
Moralo
31 May
Moralo
0 : 2
CD Badajoz
23 May
Moralo
0 : 0
CD Azuaga
17 May
CD Azuaga
0 : 1
Moralo
10 May
Moralo
1 : 1
Don Benito
Page 1 of 6

CD Azuaga

(Away)
23 May
Moralo
0 : 0
CD Azuaga
17 May
CD Azuaga
0 : 1
Moralo
10 May
Pueblonuevo
1 : 0
CD Azuaga
02 May
CD Azuaga
4 : 2
Montijo
26 Apr
Moralo
1 : 1
CD Azuaga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 21 8 5 70:22 71
2 CD Badajoz 34 23 5 6 64:27 71
3 Moralo 34 17 11 6 54:32 62
4 CD Azuaga 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
5 Jaraiz 34 16 11 7 53:33 59
6 Cabeza del Buey 34 15 12 7 45:29 57
7 SP Villafranca 34 16 7 11 45:40 55
8 Villanovense 34 15 8 11 45:36 53
9 Montijo 34 13 7 14 43:42 46
10 Jerez CF 34 8 17 9 56:51 41
11 AD Llerenense 34 11 8 15 35:44 41
12 Puebla de la Calzada 34 9 11 14 35:48 38
13 Santa Amalia 34 9 7 18 30:52 34
14 Gevora 34 8 9 17 32:53 33
15 Pueblonuevo 34 9 6 19 29:55 33
16 CD Diocesano 34 6 12 16 33:63 30
17 Montehermoso 34 5 8 21 24:66 23
18 CD Calamonte 34 3 13 18 25:47 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)