Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 14 2020/2021 game between Moralo and CP Valdivia finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moralo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
20%
34%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Moralo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Moralo carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Moralo a 46% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Moralo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Moralo Clean Sheet 20%
CP Valdivia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Moralo | CP Valdivia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 5 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 4 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.65 | 2.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 31, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Moralo vs CP Valdivia
2:0
Nov 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CP Valdivia vs Moralo
0:2
Apr 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Moralo vs CP Valdivia
0:0
Nov 9, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CP Valdivia vs Moralo
2:9
Jan 20, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CP Valdivia vs Moralo
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Moralo 85 / 100
CP Valdivia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Moralo CP Valdivia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Moralo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Moralo found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).
CP Valdivia has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Moralo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Moralo VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Moralo
(Home) 13 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 3 Moralo
06 Sept
Moralo
2 : 1 Villanovense
07 Jun
CD Badajoz
0 : 0 Moralo
31 May
Moralo
0 : 2 CD Badajoz
23 May
Moralo
0 : 0 CD Azuaga
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06 Sept
Moralo
2 : 1 Villanovense
31 May
Moralo
0 : 2 CD Badajoz
23 May
Moralo
0 : 0 CD Azuaga
10 May
Moralo
1 : 1 Don Benito
26 Apr
Moralo
1 : 1 CD Azuaga
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CP Valdivia
(Away) 14 Aug
CP Valdivia
0 : 4 Don Benito
30 May
RCP Valverdeno
3 : 1 CP Valdivia
23 May
CP Valdivia
2 : 3 CF Trujillo
16 May
AD Llerenense
0 : 1 CP Valdivia
09 May
CP Valdivia
3 : 1 Fuente de Cantos
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30 May
RCP Valverdeno
3 : 1 CP Valdivia
16 May
AD Llerenense
0 : 1 CP Valdivia
02 May
Olivenza FC
6 : 0 CP Valdivia
18 Apr
CF Trujillo
1 : 0 CP Valdivia
04 Apr
Fuente de Cantos
1 : 0 CP Valdivia
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montijo | 20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 34:5 | 49 |
| 2 | CD Coria | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 36:14 | 45 |
| 3 | Moralo | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 28:9 | 42 |
| 4 | Extremadura UD B | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 28:17 | 32 |
| 5 | UP Plasencia | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 27:14 | 30 |
| 6 | Aceuchal | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 22:25 | 26 |
| 7 | CD Calamonte | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 23:25 | 23 |
| 8 | Chinato | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 17:32 | 15 |
| 9 | Campanario | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 13:35 | 15 |
| 10 | CP Valdivia | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 14:44 | 13 |
| 11 | Lobon | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 10:32 | 12 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 14 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 14 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 14 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cacereno | 20 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 43:9 | 50 |
| 2 | CD Diocesano | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 37:12 | 44 |
| 3 | Jerez CF | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 23:16 | 36 |
| 4 | Miajadas | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 21:19 | 28 |
| 5 | Arroyo | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 15:24 | 25 |
| 6 | CD Azuaga | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 18:25 | 23 |
| 7 | AD Llerenense | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 14:26 | 22 |
| 8 | CF Trujillo | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25:28 | 19 |
| 9 | RCP Valverdeno | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 13:33 | 19 |
| 10 | Olivenza FC | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 20:26 | 18 |
| 11 | Fuente de Cantos | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 18:29 | 16 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 14 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 14 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 14 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
