Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Moratalaz vs Alcobendas

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2019/2020
Sun, May 10, 2020
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Moratalaz host Alcobendas in the Tercera Division - Group 7 2019/2020. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Moratalaz at 1.13 goals for, 1.84 against; Alcobendas at 1.55 for, 1.6 against. Past meetings favor Moratalaz slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 10, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.17 vs 1.25, favoring Alcobendas. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Moratalaz
20%
Draws
63%
Alcobendas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alcobendas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Moratalaz have won more games recently than Alcobendas.
  • 63% — that's where the model lands on Alcobendas taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Moratalaz Clean Sheet 19%
Alcobendas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moratalaz Alcobendas
Matches Played 31 20
Wins 8 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Moratalaz vs Alcobendas
0:0
Dec 22, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcobendas vs Moratalaz
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moratalaz 20 / 100
Alcobendas 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moratalaz Alcobendas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcobendas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Alcobendas conceded in 80% of 20 recent games.

Moratalaz scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Moratalaz stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Moratalaz VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Moratalaz

(Home)
01 May
AD Alcala
2 : 0
Moratalaz
24 Apr
Moratalaz
1 : 6
AD Torrejon
16 Apr
Moratalaz
3 : 4
Villaviciosa de Odon
10 Apr
Moratalaz
1 : 2
Villaverde San Andres
03 Apr
Trival Valderas
1 : 3
Moratalaz
Page 1 of 7

Alcobendas

(Away)
08 Mar
Trival Valderas
2 : 2
Alcobendas
29 Feb
Alcobendas
5 : 0
RSD Alcala
23 Feb
Villaverde San Andres
0 : 1
Alcobendas
16 Feb
Alcobendas
1 : 1
AD Torrejon
09 Feb
El Alamo
1 : 2
Alcobendas
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Navalcarnero 28 16 5 7 44:22 53
2 Union Adarve 28 14 5 9 43:35 47
3 Alcorcon B 28 12 11 5 40:26 47
4 RSD Alcala 28 13 6 9 41:32 45
5 Trival Valderas 28 12 7 9 30:27 43
6 Leganes B 28 11 9 8 49:41 42
7 CD Mostoles 28 12 6 10 42:36 42
8 Pozuelo de Alarcon 28 11 7 10 36:38 40
9 Rayo Vallecano B 28 10 9 9 47:44 39
10 Flat Earth FC 28 11 9 8 36:34 39
11 Santa Ana 28 11 5 12 42:46 38
12 Carabanchel 28 9 9 10 32:32 36
13 Atletico Pinto 28 8 11 9 40:38 35
14 AD Torrejon 28 9 8 11 27:32 35
15 El Alamo 28 9 7 12 36:42 34
16 Moratalaz 28 8 10 10 29:37 34
17 San Fernando de Henares 28 8 9 11 38:42 33
18 Alcobendas 28 8 9 11 35:38 33
19 Parla 28 4 10 14 30:50 22
20 Villaverde San Andres 28 3 10 15 16:41 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)