Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2008/2009

Match Events

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Moratalla host Deportivo Murcia in the Tercera Division - Group 13 2008/2009. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Moratalla at 1.38 goals for, 1.63 against; Deportivo Murcia at 1.5 for, 5.5 against. Head-to-head, Moratalla have won 2 to Deportivo Murcia's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2009, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 3.44 vs 1.56, favoring Moratalla. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Moratalla

Draws

90%

Deportivo Murcia

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Deportivo Murcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Deportivo Murcia has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Moratalla.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Deportivo Murcia.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera Division - Group 13 2008/2009 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 82%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Moratalla Clean Sheet 15%

Deportivo Murcia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Moratalla	Deportivo Murcia
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	10	12
Draws	5	6
Losses	17	12
Goals Scored	1.38	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.63	5.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	5.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Moratalla vs Deportivo Murcia

Possession: 45% - 51% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Nov 22, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Deportivo Murcia vs Moratalla

Possession: 53% - 50% Cards: 0 - 3

1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moratalla 10 / 100

Deportivo Murcia 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Moratalla Deportivo Murcia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moratalla scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Deportivo Murcia let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Moratalla went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Deportivo Murcia lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Moratalla VS Deportivo Murcia

1.38 Goals Scored 1.5

1.63 Goals Conceded 5.5

100% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 100%

13% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Caravaca	38	27	6	5	115:26	87
2	Moratalla	38	25	8	5	82:32	83
3	Cartagena La Union	38	23	11	4	76:27	80
4	Yeclano	38	24	8	6	83:37	80
5	Pinatar	38	21	9	8	77:37	72
6	Mazarron CF	38	19	10	9	81:46	67
7	Ciudad Cieza	38	16	14	8	77:45	62
8	Futbol Club Jumilla	38	16	14	8	63:35	62
9	Beniel	38	15	11	12	39:32	56
10	Santomera	38	13	10	15	51:66	49
11	CA Pulpileno	38	13	7	18	50:67	46
12	Deportivo Murcia	38	12	9	17	59:56	45
13	Lorca Deportiva II	38	9	15	14	49:54	42
14	Bala Azul	38	12	4	22	52:86	40
15	Plus Ultra	38	10	10	18	43:64	40
16	Calasparra FC	38	9	13	16	43:60	40
17	CD Lumbreras	38	8	6	24	41:90	30
18	Pozo Estrecho	38	8	6	24	40:88	30
19	Muleno CF	38	4	11	23	33:85	23
20	Ciudad Lorca	38	4	2	32	32:153	9