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Morava Cuprija vs Djerdap

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - East 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Srpska Liga - East 2025/2026 game between Morava Cuprija and Djerdap finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Djerdap.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Morava Cuprija
20%
Draws
36%
Djerdap
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Morava Cuprija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Djerdap carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Djerdap have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Morava Cuprija Clean Sheet 18%
Djerdap Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morava Cuprija Djerdap
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 12
Draws 11 5
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.93 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Srpska Liga - East
Morava Cuprija vs Djerdap
0:2
Sep 6, 2025 Srpska Liga - East
Djerdap vs Morava Cuprija
1:0
May 24, 2025 Srpska Liga - East
Djerdap vs Morava Cuprija
1:0
Oct 26, 2024 Srpska Liga - East
Morava Cuprija vs Djerdap
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morava Cuprija 32 / 100
Djerdap 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morava Cuprija Djerdap

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Morava Cuprija scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Morava Cuprija went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Djerdap's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.25 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Morava Cuprija VS Djerdap
3.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Morava Cuprija

(Home)
19 Sept
Morava Cuprija
1 : 1
Trayal Krusevac
12 Sept
Sloga Leskovac
0 : 2
Morava Cuprija
05 Sept
Morava Cuprija
3 : 1
Vlasina
29 Aug
Jagodina
2 : 2
Morava Cuprija
22 Aug
Morava Cuprija
3 : 0
Sindjelic
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Djerdap

(Away)
26 Sept
Trayal Krusevac
0 : 1
Djerdap
19 Sept
Djerdap
5 : 0
Sloga Leskovac
13 Sept
Vlasina
1 : 0
Djerdap
05 Sept
Djerdap
0 : 1
Jagodina
29 Aug
Sindjelic
0 : 2
Djerdap
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