Sport Picks
Moravia Morawica vs Chelmianka Chelm - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 
Match Events
5'
5'
Cichocki P.
25'
25'
Tomczyk P.
36'
36'
Tomczyk P.
AI Match Summary
Chelmianka Chelm in this III Liga - Group IV matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chelmianka Chelm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
35%
49%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chelmianka Chelm
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Chelmianka Chelm have won more games recently than Moravia Morawica.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular III Liga - Group IV form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Moravia Morawica Clean Sheet 11%
Chelmianka Chelm Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Moravia Morawica | Chelmianka Chelm |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 18 | 30 |
| Wins | 3 | 20 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.22 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.28 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Moravia Morawica vs Chelmianka Chelm
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Moravia Morawica Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Chelmianka Chelm Compare
Top Goalscorer Tomczyk P.
2 Goals Assists Leader Cichocki P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Moravia Morawica 30 / 100
Chelmianka Chelm 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Moravia Morawica Chelmianka Chelm
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chelmianka Chelm Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Moravia Morawica scored in 61% of their last 18 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Moravia Morawica stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Chelmianka Chelm has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Moravia Morawica VS Chelmianka Chelm
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Moravia Morawica
(Home) 10 Oct
Moravia Morawica
0 : 0 Wisloka Debica
03 Oct
Kolbuszowa Dolna
2 : 2 Moravia Morawica
27 Sept
Moravia Morawica
2 : 2 Jaroslaw
19 Sept
Busko-Zdroj
2 : 1 Moravia Morawica
13 Sept
Moravia Morawica
1 : 2 Czarni Polaniec
Page 1 of 4
10 Oct
Moravia Morawica
0 : 0 Wisloka Debica
27 Sept
Moravia Morawica
2 : 2 Jaroslaw
13 Sept
Moravia Morawica
1 : 2 Czarni Polaniec
30 Aug
Moravia Morawica
0 : 4 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
19 Aug
Moravia Morawica
4 : 2 Naprzod Jedrzejow
Page 1 of 2
Chelmianka Chelm
(Away) 10 Oct
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1 Star Starachowice
04 Oct
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
26 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1 Biala Podlaska
19 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 0 Chelmianka Chelm
12 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
1 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
19 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 0 Chelmianka Chelm
05 Sept
Wisla II
0 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
23 Aug
Naprzod Jedrzejow
0 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
15 Aug
Moravia Morawica
0 : 3 Chelmianka Chelm
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 20:6 | 30 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 21:9 | 23 |
| 3 | Wisloka Debica | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Wislanie Skawina | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 5 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27:21 | 20 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 7 | Jaroslaw | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 28:22 | 17 |
| 8 | Wisla II | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:17 | 16 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce II | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 27:27 | 14 |
| 10 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 11 | Hetman Zamosc | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20:20 | 14 |
| 12 | Busko-Zdroj | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17:26 | 14 |
| 13 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 14 | Biala Podlaska | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 15 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:15 | 12 |
| 16 | Star Starachowice | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:22 | 9 |
| 18 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:22 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
