Sport Picks
Moravia Morawica vs Czarni Polaniec - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 
Match Events
60'
60'
Zadlo M.
68'
68'
Bawor D.
68'
68'
Bawor D.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group IV game between Moravia Morawica and Czarni Polaniec finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Czarni Polaniec.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Czarni Polaniec
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
24%
/ Low Confidence
- Moravia Morawica haven't matched Czarni Polaniec's recent run of results.
- 24% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Moravia Morawica Clean Sheet 10%
Czarni Polaniec Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Moravia Morawica | Czarni Polaniec |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 18 | 28 |
| Wins | 3 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.22 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.28 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Moravia Morawica vs Czarni Polaniec
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Moravia Morawica Compare
Top Goalscorer Zadlo M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Czarni Polaniec Compare
Top Goalscorer Banik M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Piatrenka A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Moravia Morawica 29 / 100
Czarni Polaniec 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Moravia Morawica Czarni Polaniec
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Moravia Morawica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Moravia Morawica found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (18 games).
Defensive concern: Czarni Polaniec conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Solid form: Moravia Morawica remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Moravia Morawica VS Czarni Polaniec
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Moravia Morawica
(Home) 10 Oct
Moravia Morawica
0 : 0 Wisloka Debica
03 Oct
Kolbuszowa Dolna
2 : 2 Moravia Morawica
27 Sept
Moravia Morawica
2 : 2 Jaroslaw
19 Sept
Busko-Zdroj
2 : 1 Moravia Morawica
13 Sept
Moravia Morawica
1 : 2 Czarni Polaniec
Page 1 of 4
10 Oct
Moravia Morawica
0 : 0 Wisloka Debica
27 Sept
Moravia Morawica
2 : 2 Jaroslaw
13 Sept
Moravia Morawica
1 : 2 Czarni Polaniec
30 Aug
Moravia Morawica
0 : 4 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
19 Aug
Moravia Morawica
4 : 2 Naprzod Jedrzejow
Page 1 of 2
Czarni Polaniec
(Away) 11 Oct
Hetman Zamosc
1 : 0 Czarni Polaniec
03 Oct
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 1 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
25 Sept
Wisla II
1 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
19 Sept
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 5 Naprzod Jedrzejow
13 Sept
Moravia Morawica
1 : 2 Czarni Polaniec
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Hetman Zamosc
1 : 0 Czarni Polaniec
25 Sept
Wisla II
1 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
13 Sept
Moravia Morawica
1 : 2 Czarni Polaniec
28 Aug
Wislanie Skawina
0 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
22 Aug
Korona Kielce II
3 : 4 Czarni Polaniec
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 20:6 | 30 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 21:9 | 23 |
| 3 | Wisloka Debica | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Wislanie Skawina | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 5 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27:21 | 20 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 7 | Jaroslaw | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 28:22 | 17 |
| 8 | Wisla II | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:17 | 16 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce II | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 27:27 | 14 |
| 10 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 11 | Hetman Zamosc | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20:20 | 14 |
| 12 | Busko-Zdroj | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17:26 | 14 |
| 13 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 14 | Biala Podlaska | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 15 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:15 | 12 |
| 16 | Star Starachowice | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:22 | 9 |
| 18 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:22 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
