Sport Picks
Moravia Morawica vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 
Match Events
45'
45'
Gorski M.
88'
88'
Czajkowski P.
90'
90'
Posluszny J.
AI Match Summary
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski in this III Liga - Group IV matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
35%
47%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski have won more games recently than Moravia Morawica.
- Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Moravia Morawica Clean Sheet 10%
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Moravia Morawica | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 18 | 27 |
| Wins | 3 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.22 | 1.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.28 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Moravia Morawica vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Moravia Morawica Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Compare
Top Goalscorer Gorski M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Czajkowski P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Moravia Morawica 18 / 100
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Moravia Morawica Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Moravia Morawica scored in 61% of their last 18 outings.
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.
Recent resilience: Moravia Morawica stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Moravia Morawica VS Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Moravia Morawica
(Home) 10 Oct
Moravia Morawica
0 : 0 Wisloka Debica
03 Oct
Kolbuszowa Dolna
2 : 2 Moravia Morawica
27 Sept
Moravia Morawica
2 : 2 Jaroslaw
19 Sept
Busko-Zdroj
2 : 1 Moravia Morawica
13 Sept
Moravia Morawica
1 : 2 Czarni Polaniec
Page 1 of 4
10 Oct
Moravia Morawica
0 : 0 Wisloka Debica
27 Sept
Moravia Morawica
2 : 2 Jaroslaw
13 Sept
Moravia Morawica
1 : 2 Czarni Polaniec
30 Aug
Moravia Morawica
0 : 4 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
19 Aug
Moravia Morawica
4 : 2 Naprzod Jedrzejow
Page 1 of 2
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
(Away) 10 Oct
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
5 : 0 Busko-Zdroj
03 Oct
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 1 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
27 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 2 Hetman Zamosc
19 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 0 Chelmianka Chelm
12 Sept
Wisla II
0 : 1 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 1 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
12 Sept
Wisla II
0 : 1 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
30 Aug
Moravia Morawica
0 : 4 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
19 Aug
Wislanie Skawina
2 : 2 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
09 Aug
Star Starachowice
0 : 0 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 20:6 | 30 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 21:9 | 23 |
| 3 | Wisloka Debica | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Wislanie Skawina | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 5 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27:21 | 20 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 7 | Jaroslaw | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 28:22 | 17 |
| 8 | Wisla II | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:17 | 16 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce II | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 27:27 | 14 |
| 10 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 11 | Hetman Zamosc | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20:20 | 14 |
| 12 | Busko-Zdroj | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17:26 | 14 |
| 13 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 14 | Biala Podlaska | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 15 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:15 | 12 |
| 16 | Star Starachowice | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:22 | 9 |
| 18 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:22 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
