Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Newby E.
47'
47'
Tomlinson J.
Own Goal
53'
53'
Smith W.
AI Match Summary
The National League North game between Morecambe and Brackley finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Morecambe.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Morecambe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Morecambe carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Morecambe's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Morecambe here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Morecambe Clean Sheet 20%
Brackley Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Morecambe | Brackley |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.46 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 National League North
Morecambe vs Brackley
3:0
Dec 21, 2025 National League
Brackley vs Morecambe
0:2
Nov 18, 2025 National League
Morecambe vs Brackley
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Morecambe Compare
Top Goalscorer Newby E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Smith W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Brackley Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Morecambe 58 / 100
Brackley 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Morecambe Brackley
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Morecambe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Brackley conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Morecambe scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.
Morecambe went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Morecambe VS Brackley
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Morecambe
(Home) 31 Oct
Morecambe
2 : 0 Scarborough Athletic
27 Oct
Morecambe
1 : 0 Darlington FC
24 Oct
Merthyr Town
1 : 3 Morecambe
17 Oct
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
2 : 1 Morecambe
10 Oct
Worksop
2 : 1 Morecambe
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Morecambe
2 : 0 Scarborough Athletic
27 Oct
Morecambe
1 : 0 Darlington FC
03 Oct
Morecambe
3 : 0 Darlington FC
19 Sept
Morecambe
2 : 0 Southport
12 Sept
Morecambe
3 : 0 Brackley
Page 1 of 3
Brackley
(Away) 31 Oct
Worksop
0 : 1 Brackley
27 Oct
Spalding United
2 : 2 Brackley
24 Oct
Brackley
0 : 1 Radcliffe
17 Oct
Hednesford
3 : 2 Brackley
10 Oct
Brackley
2 : 1 Spennymoor
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Worksop
0 : 1 Brackley
27 Oct
Spalding United
2 : 2 Brackley
17 Oct
Hednesford
3 : 2 Brackley
12 Sept
Morecambe
3 : 0 Brackley
08 Sept
Buxton
5 : 0 Brackley
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Shields | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 25:19 | 29 |
| 2 | Oxford City | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 26:11 | 27 |
| 3 | Macclesfield | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21:11 | 27 |
| 4 | Hereford | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 24:11 | 26 |
| 5 | Buxton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 30:25 | 26 |
| 6 | King’s Lynn | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25:21 | 24 |
| 7 | Hednesford | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 8 | Morecambe | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21:12 | 23 |
| 9 | Chester | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 17:14 | 23 |
| 10 | Bedford | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 17:19 | 22 |
| 11 | Spalding United | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:15 | 21 |
| 12 | Chorley | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23:23 | 20 |
| 13 | Worksop | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 20:21 | 20 |
| 14 | Hebburn Town | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 19:24 | 20 |
| 15 | Telford | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16:21 | 19 |
| 16 | Brackley | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18:26 | 19 |
| 17 | Harborough | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13:17 | 17 |
| 18 | Marine | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17:19 | 16 |
| 19 | Merthyr Town | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 18:22 | 16 |
| 20 | Radcliffe | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 19:27 | 16 |
| 21 | Scarborough Athletic | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19:20 | 15 |
| 22 | Darlington FC | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 19:28 | 11 |
| 23 | Southport | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14:25 | 10 |
| 24 | Spennymoor | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14:27 | 10 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
