Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Morecambe vs Southport

England England

FA Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Morecambe
15%
Draws
17%
Southport
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Morecambe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Southport lately — more wins on the board than Morecambe.
  • Model gives Morecambe a 68% chance of winning this.
  • Southport arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Morecambe, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Morecambe Clean Sheet 20%
Southport Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morecambe Southport
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.72 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 FA Cup
Morecambe vs Southport
2:0
Sep 8, 2026 National League North
Southport vs Morecambe
2:1
Jul 30, 2024 Club Friendly
Southport vs Morecambe
0:0
Jul 18, 2023 Club Friendly
Southport vs Morecambe
1:3
Jul 30, 2011 Club Friendly
Southport vs Morecambe
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morecambe 85 / 100
Southport 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morecambe Southport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morecambe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Southport's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Morecambe's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Morecambe stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Morecambe VS Southport
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Morecambe

(Home)
19 Sept
Morecambe
2 : 0
Southport
12 Sept
Morecambe
3 : 0
Brackley
08 Sept
Southport
2 : 1
Morecambe
05 Sept
Morecambe
4 : 0
Buxton
31 Aug
Chester
0 : 1
Morecambe
Page 1 of 6

Southport

(Away)
19 Sept
Morecambe
2 : 0
Southport
12 Sept
Worksop
2 : 0
Southport
08 Sept
Southport
2 : 1
Morecambe
05 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 0
Southport
31 Aug
Southport
0 : 1
Hereford
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Redcar Athletic 1
Stocksbridge 0
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Macclesfield -
Vauxhall 0
Dunston 2
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Scarborough Athletic -
Marine -
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Radcliffe -
Shildon 2
Warrington Town 6
South Liverpool 4
Prestwich Heys 3
Heaton Stannington 1
Knaresborough Town 0
Bamber Bridge 1
Trafford 3
Northwich Victoria 2
Atherton Collieries 3
Prescot Cables 2
Horbury Town 0
Hebburn Town -
TBD -
Stockton 3
Guiseley 4
Curzon Ashton 1
Bradford PA 2
Lancaster 3
Tadcaster Albion 1
Leamington 3
Ilkeston 1
Sherwood Colliery 2
Gainsborough 4
Northampton Sileby 0
Anstey Nomads 4
Cleethorpes 1
Newcastle Town 2
Morecambe -
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Southport -
Redcar Town 1
Blyth Spartans 0
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Darlington FC -
Buxton -
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Whitby 2
Ashton United 5
South Shields -
TBD -
Avro 0
Witton Albion 2
Bury FC 8
Wythenshawe FC 0
Workington 3
Marske United 0
Bromsgrove 2
Nuneaton 0
Sporting Khalsa 0
Leek Town 5
North Ferriby FC 0
Barton Town 2
Bourne 2
Boldmere St Michaels 3
Warrington Rylands 3
Hyde 1
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Chorley -
Telford -
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Worksop -
Garforth 1
United of Manchester 5
Ossett United 1
Pontefract Collieries 0
Stafford 3
Northampton on Chenecks 0
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Hereford -
Halesowen 3
Basford Utd. 1
Stamford 0
Mickleover 1
AFC Emley 3
Bishop Auckland 1
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Spennymoor -
Lower Breck 5
Thornaby 1
TBD -
Chester -
Dunstable 1
Woodford Town 3
Mulbarton Wanderers 3
Cornard United 0
AFC Totton -
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Gloucester City 5
Mangotsfield 1
Leighton Town 1
Gorleston 4
London Lions 2
Bury Town 4
Spalding United -
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Hanley Town 2
Abbey Hulton 1
Harborough -
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Stourbridge 1
Rushall 3
FC Witham Town 3
Stotfold 2
St. Albans 2
Hashtag 0
Bedford -
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King’s Lynn -
Hemel Hempstead -
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Wingate & Finchley 2
Felixstowe & Walton 0
Wellingborough 3
Kettering 4
Quorn 2
Shepshed 1
Knowle 1
Worcester 2
Alfreton 0
Stratford 2
Cambridge City 6
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Yaxley 1
Buckhurst Hill 4
Alvechurch 2
Wolverhampton City 0
Lye Town 1
Racing Club Warwick 5
Brackley -
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Portchester 2
Portland United 1
Canvey Island 2
Newmarket 1
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Chelmsford -
Chesham -
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Ware 6
Fakenham 4
Harleston Town 3
Romford 1
Real Bedford 4
Royston Town 1
Brixham 2
Dorchester 3
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Oxford City -
Billericay -
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Frenford 0
Enfield Town 4
Aveley 4
Cheshunt 2
Concord Rangers 2
Brentwood 4
Brantham 0
Waltham Abbey 7
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Dagenham & Red. -
Biggleswade Town 1
Hitchin 4
Grays 0
Leiston 5
Hednesford -
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Coventry United 2
Bedworth United 1
Malvern Town 1
Redditch 5
Belper Town 0
Evesham 3
Stortford 2
Berkhamsted Town 3
Hendon 7
Hullbridge 3
Desborough Town 0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Peterborough Sports 4
Ipswich Wanderers 0
Stanway Rovers 1
Needham Market 3
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Braintree -
Southall FC 2
Cobham 1
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Dorking Wanderers -
Slough Town -
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Egham Town 0
Chatham 4
Merthyr Town -
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Truro -
Fleetlands 0
Cirencester 3
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Farnham -
Tonbridge -
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Ramsgate 1
Bracknell Town 0
Torquay -
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Basingstoke 0
AFC Stoneham 1
Winslow United 1
Swindon Supermarine 3
Bath City 0
Weymouth 2
Broadfields United 1
Chichester City 4
SE Dons 2
Erith Town 0
Margate 1
Snodland 3
Redhill 1
Sheppey United 2
Chertsey Town 3
Carshalton 2
Sittingbourne 3
A.F.C. Greenwich Borough 4
Lewes 2
Cray Wanderers 3
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Maidstone -
Yate 3
Devizes Town 0
Chippenham Town 4
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Hampton & Richmond -
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Crowborough 4
Whyteleafe 3
Weston-super-Mare -
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Wimborne 3
Portishead Town 1
Falmouth Town 2
Frome Town 4
Gosport Borough 1
Plymouth Parkway 3
Walton & Hersham -
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Horsham FC -
Uxbridge 3
Haywards Heath 0
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Farnborough -
Baffins Milton Rovers 1
Slimbridge 4
Wells City 0
Hungerford 4
Maidenhead -
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Ebbsfleet -
St. Blazey 1
Tiverton 2
Sholing 2
Andover New Street 0
Salisbury -
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Taunton Town 4
Millbrook 0
Dulwich Hamlet 4
East Grinstead Town 0
Faversham 2
Welling 3
Thame United 3
Reading City 2
Banbury 1
Exmouth Town 2
Whitehawk 2
Eastbourne Borough 4
Holmesdale 1
Windsor & Eton 5
Flackwell Heath 0
Hanwell Town 1
Burgess Hill 3
Jersey Bulls 1
Dover Ath. -
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Folkestone -
Bishops Cleeve 2
Poole Town 1
Tadley Calleva 3
Laverstock & Ford 1
Westfield 1
Dartford 3
Hayes & Yeading 2
Camberley Town 1
Three Bridges 0
Kingstonian 1
Leatherhead 3
Croydon Athletic 0
Ascot United 1
Pagham 3
Hanworth Villa 4
Whitstable Town 1
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Quarter-finals
Redcar Athletic 1
Macclesfield 2
Dunston 0
Scarborough Athletic 2
Marine 3
Radcliffe 2
Warrington Town 3
South Liverpool 0
Heaton Stannington 1
Trafford 2
Atherton Collieries 2
Prescot Cables 0
Hebburn Town 1
Guiseley 4
Bradford PA 1
Lancaster 0
Leamington 1
Gainsborough 4
Anstey Nomads 2
Newcastle Town 1
Morecambe 2
Southport 0
Redcar Town 2
Darlington FC 4
Buxton 1
Ashton United 0
South Shields 7
Witton Albion 0
Bury FC 5
Workington 1
Bromsgrove 2
Leek Town 1
Barton Town 3
Boldmere St Michaels 1
Warrington Rylands 0
Chorley 1
Telford 4
Worksop 7
United of Manchester 4
Ossett United 1
Stafford 3
Hereford 2
Halesowen 2
Mickleover 0
AFC Emley 0
Spennymoor 4
Lower Breck 1
Chester 2
Woodford Town 1
Mulbarton Wanderers 2
AFC Totton 0
Gloucester City 2
Gorleston 3
Bury Town 4
Spalding United 2
Hanley Town 0
Harborough 1
Rushall 0
FC Witham Town 0
St. Albans 3
Bedford 2
King’s Lynn 1
Hemel Hempstead 2
Wingate & Finchley 3
Kettering 2
Quorn 0
Worcester 2
Stratford 1
Cambridge City 3
Buckhurst Hill 1
Alvechurch 3
Racing Club Warwick 1
Brackley 1
Portchester 0
Canvey Island 0
Chelmsford 1
Chesham 7
Ware 2
Harleston Town 1
Real Bedford 2
Dorchester 0
Oxford City 2
Billericay 1
Enfield Town 3
Aveley 2
Brentwood 3
Waltham Abbey 1
Dagenham & Red. 4
Hitchin 1
Leiston 2
Hednesford 0
Coventry United 1
Redditch 3
Evesham 0
Berkhamsted Town 4
Hendon 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Peterborough Sports 1
Needham Market 3
Braintree 6
Southall FC 6
Dorking Wanderers 7
Slough Town 0
Chatham 1
Merthyr Town 1
Truro 3
Cirencester 4
Farnham 3
Tonbridge 2
Ramsgate 1
Torquay 6
AFC Stoneham 1
Swindon Supermarine 1
Weymouth 3
Chichester City 2
SE Dons 3
Snodland 0
Sheppey United 1
Chertsey Town 3
A.F.C. Greenwich Borough 2
Cray Wanderers 3
Maidstone 1
Yate 1
Chippenham Town 2
Hampton & Richmond 4
Crowborough 6
Weston-super-Mare 2
Wimborne 3
Frome Town 0
Plymouth Parkway 2
Walton & Hersham 0
Horsham FC 3
Uxbridge 4
Farnborough 2
Slimbridge 1
Hungerford 3
Maidenhead 1
Ebbsfleet 3
Tiverton 0
Sholing 1
Salisbury 4
Taunton Town 1
Dulwich Hamlet 4
Welling 1
Thame United 6
Exmouth Town 4
Eastbourne Borough 3
Windsor & Eton 0
Hanwell Town 2
Burgess Hill 1
Dover Ath. 4
Folkestone 2
Bishops Cleeve 0
Tadley Calleva 1
Dartford 4
Hayes & Yeading 2
Kingstonian 0
Leatherhead 1
Pagham 0
Hanworth Villa 6
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Semi-finals
Macclesfield -
Scarborough Athletic -
Marine -
Warrington Town -
Trafford -
Atherton Collieries -
Guiseley -
Bradford PA -
Gainsborough -
Anstey Nomads -
Morecambe -
Darlington FC -
Buxton -
South Shields -
Bury FC -
Bromsgrove -
Barton Town -
Chorley -
Worksop -
United of Manchester -
Stafford -
Halesowen -
Spennymoor -
Chester -
Mulbarton Wanderers -
Gloucester City -
Bury Town -
Spalding United -
Harborough -
St. Albans -
Bedford -
Wingate & Finchley -
Kettering -
Worcester -
Cambridge City -
Alvechurch -
Brackley -
Chelmsford -
Chesham -
Real Bedford -
Oxford City -
Enfield Town -
Brentwood -
Dagenham & Red. -
Leiston -
Coventry United -
Redditch -
Berkhamsted Town -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
Braintree -
Dorking Wanderers -
Chatham -
Truro -
Cirencester -
Tonbridge -
Torquay -
Weymouth -
SE Dons -
Sheppey United -
Chertsey Town -
Cray Wanderers -
Chippenham Town -
Crowborough -
Wimborne -
Plymouth Parkway -
Horsham FC -
Uxbridge -
Hungerford -
Ebbsfleet -
Sholing -
Salisbury -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Thame United -
Eastbourne Borough -
Hanwell Town -
Dover Ath. -
Tadley Calleva -
Dartford -
Leatherhead -
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