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Morecambe vs Spennymoor

England England

National League North The Mazuma Stadium, Morecambe
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Bennett R.
49' Event
Daly M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The National League North game between Morecambe and Spennymoor finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Morecambe
35%
Draws
32%
Spennymoor
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Spennymoor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Morecambe taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Morecambe Clean Sheet 12%
Spennymoor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morecambe Spennymoor
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.55 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 National League North
Morecambe vs Spennymoor
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morecambe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Spennymoor Compare

Top Goalscorer Bennett R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morecambe 35 / 100
Spennymoor 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morecambe Spennymoor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spennymoor has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Morecambe found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Morecambe stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Morecambe VS Spennymoor
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Morecambe

(Home)
08 Aug
Morecambe
1 : 1
Spennymoor
01 Aug
Morecambe
0 : 1
Barrow
28 Jul
Morecambe
1 : 1
AFC Fylde
18 Jul
Bamber Bridge
0 : 3
Morecambe
25 Apr
Forest Green
5 : 0
Morecambe
Page 1 of 6

Spennymoor

(Away)
08 Aug
Morecambe
1 : 1
Spennymoor
01 Aug
Spennymoor
2 : 1
Gateshead
25 Jul
Spennymoor
1 : 3
Halifax
18 Jul
Spennymoor
1 : 2
Hartlepool
25 Apr
Spennymoor
1 : 1
Marine
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hebburn Town 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Merthyr Town 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Spalding United 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
4 Chester 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Brackley 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Buxton 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
7 Worksop 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
8 Macclesfield 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
9 Oxford City 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
10 South Shields 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
11 Morecambe 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
12 King’s Lynn 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
13 Spennymoor 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
14 Harborough 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
15 Darlington FC 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
16 Hereford 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
17 Telford 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
18 Chorley 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
19 Marine 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
20 Bedford 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
21 Scarborough Athletic 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
22 Southport 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
23 Hednesford 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
24 Radcliffe 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)