Sport Picks
Morecambe vs Spennymoor Prediction & H2H Stats
England
National League North The Mazuma Stadium, Morecambe 
Match Events
9'
9'
Bennett R.
49'
49'
Daly M.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The National League North game between Morecambe and Spennymoor finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Morecambe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Morecambe carry the better recent record into this one.
- 39% — that's where the model lands on Morecambe taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Morecambe Clean Sheet 68%
Spennymoor Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Morecambe | Spennymoor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.76 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 National League North
Morecambe vs Spennymoor
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Morecambe Compare
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Spennymoor Compare
Top Goalscorer Bennett R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Morecambe 50 / 100
Spennymoor 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Morecambe Spennymoor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Morecambe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 6:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Spennymoor has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Morecambe found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Morecambe stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Morecambe VS Spennymoor
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Morecambe
(Home) 03 Oct
Morecambe
3 : 0 Darlington FC
26 Sept
Oxford City
1 : 1 Morecambe
19 Sept
Morecambe
2 : 0 Southport
12 Sept
Morecambe
3 : 0 Brackley
08 Sept
Southport
2 : 1 Morecambe
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Morecambe
3 : 0 Darlington FC
19 Sept
Morecambe
2 : 0 Southport
12 Sept
Morecambe
3 : 0 Brackley
05 Sept
Morecambe
4 : 0 Buxton
28 Aug
Morecambe
2 : 1 Telford
Page 1 of 4
Spennymoor
(Away) 03 Oct
Spennymoor
4 : 1 Chester
26 Sept
Southport
2 : 2 Spennymoor
19 Sept
AFC Emley
0 : 4 Spennymoor
12 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 1 Macclesfield
08 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 3 Spalding United
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Southport
2 : 2 Spennymoor
19 Sept
AFC Emley
0 : 4 Spennymoor
05 Sept
Hereford
2 : 1 Spennymoor
29 Aug
Bedford
3 : 1 Spennymoor
18 Aug
Scarborough Athletic
3 : 0 Spennymoor
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 23 |
| 2 | Macclesfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:7 | 20 |
| 4 | South Shields | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 5 | Hebburn Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:16 | 18 |
| 6 | Spalding United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Chester | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 8 | King’s Lynn | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 9 | Buxton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Bedford | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 16 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 12 | Chorley | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Merthyr Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 14 | Scarborough Athletic | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 15 | Hednesford | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 12 |
| 16 | Marine | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 17 | Harborough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 18 | Worksop | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10:16 | 12 |
| 19 | Brackley | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | 12 |
| 20 | Southport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 21 | Telford | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | 9 |
| 22 | Darlington FC | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:21 | 7 |
| 23 | Spennymoor | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 24 | Radcliffe | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9:20 | 6 |
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