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Morecambe W vs Chester-Le-Street Town W

England England

Women’s FA Cup 2015/2016
Sun, Dec 13, 2015
4 - 3
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Morecambe W play Chester-Le-Street Town W in the Women’s FA Cup 2015/2016. Morecambe W are favorites here. Recently, Morecambe W averaged 3.22 goals scored and 2.67 conceded. Chester-Le-Street Town W averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. In past meetings, Morecambe W won 1, Chester-Le-Street Town W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 13, 2015 ended 4:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Morecambe W and 1.00 for Chester-Le-Street Town W. This points to a Morecambe W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Morecambe W
25%
Draws
15%
Chester-Le-Street Town W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Morecambe W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Morecambe W picked up more points recently compared to Chester-Le-Street Town W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
Morecambe W Clean Sheet 23%
Chester-Le-Street Town W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morecambe W Chester-Le-Street Town W
Matches Played 9 15
Wins 5 6
Draws 0 0
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 3.22 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.67 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.67 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 13, 2015 Women’s FA Cup
Morecambe W vs Chester-Le-Street Town W
4:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morecambe W 59 / 100
Chester-Le-Street Town W 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morecambe W Chester-Le-Street Town W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morecambe W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Morecambe W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.5%
1.28
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Morecambe W attacking → ← attacking Chester-Le-Street Town W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morecambe W scored in 89% of their last 9 games.

Chester-Le-Street Town W let in goals in 53% of their last 15 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Morecambe W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Chester-Le-Street Town W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 18
2.67 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63