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Moreirense U19 vs Aves U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Moreirense U19 in this Campeonato Nacional U19 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Moreirense U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Moreirense U19
20%
Draws
29%
Aves U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Moreirense U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Moreirense U19 have won more games recently than Aves U19.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Moreirense U19 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Moreirense U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Aves U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moreirense U19 Aves U19
Matches Played 30 19
Wins 9 5
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.2 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.27 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2018 Campeonato Nacional U19
Moreirense U19 vs Aves U19
4:0
Apr 7, 2018 Campeonato Nacional U19
Aves U19 vs Moreirense U19
2:0
Jan 13, 2018 Campeonato Nacional U19
Aves U19 vs Moreirense U19
0:1
Oct 21, 2017 Campeonato Nacional U19
Moreirense U19 vs Aves U19
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moreirense U19 32 / 100
Aves U19 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moreirense U19 Aves U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Moreirense U19 scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Aves U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 19 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Moreirense U19 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Moreirense U19 VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Moreirense U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Moreirense U19
1 : 1
Gil Vicente U19
12 Sept
Braga U19
0 : 1
Moreirense U19
06 Sept
Moreirense U19
1 : 0
Rio Ave U19
29 Aug
Moreirense U19
2 : 3
Famalicao U19
22 Aug
FC Porto U19
3 : 1
Moreirense U19
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Aves U19

(Away)
08 Mar
Aves U19
1 : 2
Gil Vicente U19
01 Mar
Nacional U19
1 : 1
Aves U19
22 Feb
Aves U19
2 : 0
Leixoes U19
01 Feb
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
2 : 1
Aves U19
25 Jan
Aves U19
0 : 4
Pacos Ferreira U19
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