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Moreirense U19 vs Famalicao U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Martins E.
45' Event
Martins D.
58'
Brandao M.

AI Match Summary

Famalicao U19 in this Campeonato Nacional U19 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Famalicao U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Moreirense U19
20%
Draws
29%
Famalicao U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Moreirense U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Famalicao U19 have won more games recently than Moreirense U19.
  • Model gives Moreirense U19 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Famalicao U19 have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Moreirense U19 Clean Sheet 19%
Famalicao U19 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moreirense U19 Famalicao U19
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.18 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Moreirense U19 vs Famalicao U19
2:3
Nov 15, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Moreirense U19 vs Famalicao U19
2:3
Sep 13, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Famalicao U19 vs Moreirense U19
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moreirense U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Martins D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Miranda J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Famalicao U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Martins E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Leite D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moreirense U19 67 / 100
Famalicao U19 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moreirense U19 Famalicao U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moreirense U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Famalicao U19 conceded in 88% of 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

Moreirense U19's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: Moreirense U19 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Moreirense U19 VS Famalicao U19
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Moreirense U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Moreirense U19
1 : 1
Gil Vicente U19
12 Sept
Braga U19
0 : 1
Moreirense U19
06 Sept
Moreirense U19
1 : 0
Rio Ave U19
29 Aug
Moreirense U19
2 : 3
Famalicao U19
22 Aug
FC Porto U19
3 : 1
Moreirense U19
Page 1 of 6

Famalicao U19

(Away)
10 Oct
Famalicao U19
0 : 1
Rio Ave U19
26 Sept
Famalicao U19
3 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
19 Sept
Feirense U19
1 : 1
Famalicao U19
12 Sept
FC Porto U19
4 : 0
Famalicao U19
05 Sept
Academico Viseu U19
1 : 0
Famalicao U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 7 5 1 1 17:6 16
2 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 8 4 1 3 8:9 13
3 Rio Ave U19 7 3 2 2 6:4 11
4 Gil Vicente U19 7 3 2 2 5:3 11
5 Braga U19 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
6 Feirense U19 7 3 1 3 5:6 10
7 Famalicao U19 8 2 2 4 8:12 8
8 Academico Viseu U19 6 2 1 3 9:6 7
9 Moreirense U19 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
10 Vizela U19 7 2 0 5 7:17 6
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP U19 7 5 2 0 12:4 17
2 Benfica U19 6 4 2 0 16:5 14
3 Oriental U19 7 3 2 2 8:7 11
4 Santa Clara U19 6 3 1 2 13:7 10
5 Torreense U19 7 3 1 3 11:10 10
6 Mafra U19 7 2 3 2 7:13 9
7 Casa Pia U19 7 2 2 3 9:9 8
8 Leiria U19 7 1 3 3 7:13 6
9 SC Farense U19 7 1 1 5 8:16 4
10 Alverca U19 7 0 3 4 7:14 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)