Sport Picks
Moreirense vs Benfica
Portugal
Liga Portugal Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Conegos 
Match Events
43'
43'
Batista G.
45'
45'
Duville-Parsemain A.
45'
45'
Pavlidis V.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Benfica in this Liga Portugal matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Benfica.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
15%
54%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benfica
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Benfica lately — more wins on the board than Moreirense.
- Benfica are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Liga Portugal form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Benfica have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Moreirense Clean Sheet 10%
Benfica Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Moreirense | Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 20 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 2.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 9, 2026 Liga Portugal
Moreirense vs Benfica
0:4
Apr 25, 2026 Liga Portugal
Benfica vs Moreirense
4:1
Dec 14, 2025 Liga Portugal
Moreirense vs Benfica
0:4
Feb 8, 2025 Liga Portugal
Benfica vs Moreirense
3:2
Aug 30, 2024 Liga Portugal
Moreirense vs Benfica
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Moreirense Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Benfica Compare
Top Goalscorer Schjelderup A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Prestianni G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Moreirense 10 / 100
Benfica 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Moreirense Benfica
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Benfica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Moreirense found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Benfica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
Moreirense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Moreirense VS Benfica
1.13 Goals Scored 3.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Moreirense
(Home) 20 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes
1 : 1 Moreirense
14 Sept
Moreirense
3 : 1 Maritimo
09 Sept
Moreirense
0 : 4 Benfica
04 Sept
FC Porto
2 : 1 Moreirense
30 Aug
Casa Pia
0 : 1 Moreirense
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Moreirense
3 : 1 Maritimo
09 Sept
Moreirense
0 : 4 Benfica
09 Aug
Moreirense
2 : 2 Braga
01 Aug
Moreirense
2 : 0 Amarante FC
18 Jul
Moreirense
2 : 2 AFS
Page 1 of 3
Benfica
(Away) 20 Sept
FC Porto
3 : 1 Benfica
16 Sept
AC Milan
0 : 2 Benfica
13 Sept
Benfica
3 : 1 Gil Vicente
09 Sept
Moreirense
0 : 4 Benfica
05 Sept
Maritimo
0 : 3 Benfica
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
FC Porto
3 : 1 Benfica
16 Sept
AC Milan
0 : 2 Benfica
09 Sept
Moreirense
0 : 4 Benfica
05 Sept
Maritimo
0 : 3 Benfica
27 Aug
Aarhus
1 : 3 Benfica
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 21 |
| 2 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 5 | Arouca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 7 | Academico Viseu | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Estrela da Amadora | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 9 | Gil Vicente | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 10 | Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 8 |
| 11 | Maritimo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:14 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:7 | 7 |
| 14 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 15 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:16 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2027/2028 (Main)
