Sport Picks
Moreirense vs Maritimo
Portugal
Liga Portugal Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Conegos 
Match Events
8'
8'
Andrade R.
11'
11'
Bondoso K.
18'
18'
Mendonca M.
Assist: Andrade T.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Portugal game between Moreirense and Maritimo finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moreirense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Moreirense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Moreirense haven't matched Maritimo's recent run of results.
- Moreirense are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Regular Liga Portugal form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Moreirense Clean Sheet 19%
Maritimo Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Moreirense | Maritimo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 14, 2026 Liga Portugal
Moreirense vs Maritimo
3:1
Mar 6, 2022 Liga Portugal
Moreirense vs Maritimo
0:1
Oct 1, 2021 Liga Portugal
Maritimo vs Moreirense
0:0
Mar 7, 2021 Liga Portugal
Maritimo vs Moreirense
0:2
Oct 25, 2020 Liga Portugal
Moreirense vs Maritimo
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Moreirense Compare
Top Goalscorer Mendonca M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vonic L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Maritimo Compare
Top Goalscorer Correia R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Moreirense 36 / 100
Maritimo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Moreirense Maritimo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Moreirense found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Maritimo conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Maritimo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Moreirense VS Maritimo
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Moreirense
(Home) 14 Sept
Moreirense
3 : 1 Maritimo
09 Sept
Moreirense
0 : 4 Benfica
04 Sept
FC Porto
2 : 1 Moreirense
30 Aug
Casa Pia
0 : 1 Moreirense
16 Aug
Arouca
4 : 0 Moreirense
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Moreirense
3 : 1 Maritimo
09 Sept
Moreirense
0 : 4 Benfica
09 Aug
Moreirense
2 : 2 Braga
01 Aug
Moreirense
2 : 0 Amarante FC
18 Jul
Moreirense
2 : 2 AFS
Page 1 of 3
Maritimo
(Away) 14 Sept
Moreirense
3 : 1 Maritimo
05 Sept
Maritimo
0 : 3 Benfica
29 Aug
Arouca
2 : 1 Maritimo
22 Aug
Maritimo
2 : 2 Academico Viseu
16 Aug
Famalicao
1 : 2 Maritimo
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Moreirense
3 : 1 Maritimo
29 Aug
Arouca
2 : 1 Maritimo
16 Aug
Famalicao
1 : 2 Maritimo
09 May
Penafiel
1 : 0 Maritimo
26 Apr
Benfica B
1 : 2 Maritimo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 21 |
| 2 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 5 | Arouca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 7 | Academico Viseu | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Estrela da Amadora | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 9 | Gil Vicente | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 10 | Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 8 |
| 11 | Maritimo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:14 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:7 | 7 |
| 14 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 15 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:16 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2027/2028 (Main)
