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Moreton Bay Utd vs Brisbane City

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Knight S.
Assist: Farina J.
80' Event
Knight S.
Own Goal
83' Event
Scott J.
Assist: Anderson D.

AI Match Summary

Moreton Bay Utd in this NPL Queensland 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Moreton Bay Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Moreton Bay Utd
44%
Draws
20%
Brisbane City
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Brisbane City have won more games recently than Moreton Bay Utd.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Moreton Bay Utd have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Moreton Bay Utd Clean Sheet 14%
Brisbane City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moreton Bay Utd Brisbane City
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 15 18
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 0 2.13
Goals Conceded 0 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2023 NPL Queensland
Moreton Bay Utd vs Brisbane City
2:1
Jul 28, 2023 NPL Queensland
Moreton Bay Utd vs Brisbane City
3:2
Apr 30, 2023 NPL Queensland
Brisbane City vs Moreton Bay Utd
2:2
Feb 4, 2023 Club Friendly
Moreton Bay Utd vs Brisbane City
2:0
Jul 10, 2022 NPL Queensland
Brisbane City vs Moreton Bay Utd
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moreton Bay Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Knight S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Scott J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Brisbane City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moreton Bay Utd 35 / 100
Brisbane City 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moreton Bay Utd Brisbane City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Moreton Bay Utd scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Brisbane City let in goals in 76% of their last 38 matches.

Solid form: Moreton Bay Utd remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Brisbane City
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Gold Coast Knights SC-
TBD-
Gold Coast Utd1
Peninsula3
Moreton Bay Utd-
TBD-
Brisbane City2
Queensland Lions1
Semi-finals
Gold Coast Knights SC5
Peninsula0
Moreton Bay Utd2
Brisbane City1
Final
Gold Coast Knights SC1
Moreton Bay Utd0