Sport Picks
Moreton Bay Utd vs Gold Coast City
Australia
FFA Cup 2017 
Match Events
45'
45'
Millar C.
45'
45'
Lyvidikos B.
57'
57'
Sub
Lee D. In: Bang K. S.
Out: Lee D.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-1, with Gold Coast City advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Moreton Bay Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Moreton Bay Utd haven't matched Gold Coast City's recent run of results.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Moreton Bay Utd taking it.
- Gold Coast City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Gold Coast City, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Moreton Bay Utd Clean Sheet 20%
Gold Coast City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Moreton Bay Utd | Gold Coast City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 20 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2017 Australia Cup
Moreton Bay Utd vs Gold Coast City
0:1
Aug 19, 2017 NPL Queensland
Moreton Bay Utd vs Gold Coast City
3:0
May 20, 2017 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast City vs Moreton Bay Utd
1:1
Jul 2, 2016 NPL Queensland
Moreton Bay Utd vs Gold Coast City
0:1
Apr 3, 2016 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast City vs Moreton Bay Utd
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Moreton Bay Utd 85 / 100
Gold Coast City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Moreton Bay Utd Gold Coast City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Moreton Bay Utd found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (33 games).
Defensive concern: Gold Coast City conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Moreton Bay Utd stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Moreton Bay Utd VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Moreton Bay Utd
(Home) 17 Sept
Gold Coast Knights SC
1 : 0 Moreton Bay Utd
09 Sept
Moreton Bay Utd
2 : 1 Brisbane City
26 Aug
Queensland Lions
1 : 1 Moreton Bay Utd
20 Aug
Moreton Bay Utd
0 : 1 Peninsula
13 Aug
Brisbane Roar U21
0 : 3 Moreton Bay Utd
Page 1 of 7
09 Sept
Moreton Bay Utd
2 : 1 Brisbane City
20 Aug
Moreton Bay Utd
0 : 1 Peninsula
10 Aug
Moreton Bay Utd
0 : 3 Heidelberg Utd
28 Jul
Moreton Bay Utd
3 : 2 Brisbane City
15 Jul
Moreton Bay Utd
2 : 1 Redlands
Page 1 of 4
Gold Coast City
(Away) 20 Sept
Gold Coast City
0 : 6 South Melbourne
26 Aug
Gold Coast City
0 : 3 Western Pride
23 Aug
Moreton Bay Utd
0 : 1 Gold Coast City
19 Aug
Moreton Bay Utd
3 : 0 Gold Coast City
12 Aug
Gold Coast City
0 : 1 Western Pride
Page 1 of 6
23 Aug
Moreton Bay Utd
0 : 1 Gold Coast City
19 Aug
Moreton Bay Utd
3 : 0 Gold Coast City
06 Aug
Olympic FC
1 : 3 Gold Coast City
01 Jul
Brisbane Strikers
3 : 2 Gold Coast City
24 Jun
SWQ Thunder
0 : 3 Gold Coast City
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
South Melbourne1
Edgeworth Eagles FC0
Canberra Olympic0
Sorrento1
Moreton Bay Utd4
Broadmeadow Magic FC2
Western Knights1
Gold Coast City3
Melbourne City2
Peninsula0
Hills United3
Hakoah Sydney6
Bankstown Berries2
MetroStars1
Shamrock Rovers Darwin0
Sydney FC8
Western Sydney Wanderers1
Wellington Phoenix0
Hume City1
Bentleigh Greens2
APIA Leichhardt5
Olympia Warriors0
Central Coast2
Blacktown City3
Heidelberg Utd1
Perth Glory0
Cairns2
Sydney Utd7
Melbourne Victory5
Brisbane Roar1
Newcastle Jets0
Adelaide Utd1
1/8-finals
South Melbourne4
Sorrento1
Moreton Bay Utd0
Gold Coast City1
Melbourne City3
Hakoah Sydney2
Bankstown Berries0
Sydney FC3
Western Sydney Wanderers4
Bentleigh Greens0
APIA Leichhardt1
Blacktown City3
Heidelberg Utd2
Sydney Utd1
Melbourne Victory0
Adelaide Utd3
Quarter-finals
South Melbourne6
Gold Coast City0
Melbourne City0
Sydney FC2
Western Sydney Wanderers3
Blacktown City2
Heidelberg Utd0
Adelaide Utd3
Semi-finals
South Melbourne1
Sydney FC5
Western Sydney Wanderers1
Adelaide Utd2
Final
Sydney FC2
Adelaide Utd1