Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Moreton Bay Utd vs Queensland Lions

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Stewart J.
Assist: Holliday B.
17' Event
Pengelly A.
Assist: Shepherd N.
21' Event
Pengelly A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Moreton Bay Utd play Queensland Lions in the NPL Queensland 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Moreton Bay Utd averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Queensland Lions averaged 2.75 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Moreton Bay Utd won 0, Queensland Lions won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 26, 2023 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Moreton Bay Utd and 1.93 for Queensland Lions. This points to a Queensland Lions double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Moreton Bay Utd
17%
Draws
70%
Queensland Lions
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Queensland Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Queensland Lions has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Moreton Bay Utd.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Queensland Lions.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in NPL Queensland 2023 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Moreton Bay Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Queensland Lions Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moreton Bay Utd Queensland Lions
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 15 22
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 0 2.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2023 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Moreton Bay Utd
1:1
May 20, 2023 NPL Queensland
Moreton Bay Utd vs Queensland Lions
1:2
Aug 14, 2022 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Moreton Bay Utd
3:1
Jun 4, 2022 NPL Queensland
Moreton Bay Utd vs Queensland Lions
1:3
Oct 17, 2021 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Moreton Bay Utd
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moreton Bay Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Stewart J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Queensland Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Pengelly A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moreton Bay Utd 14 / 100
Queensland Lions 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moreton Bay Utd Queensland Lions

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moreton Bay Utd scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Queensland Lions let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Moreton Bay Utd went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Queensland Lions lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Queensland Lions
0 Goals Scored 2.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gold Coast Knights SC22146245:2148
2Moreton Bay Utd22115645:2738
3Gold Coast Utd22106627:2336
4Brisbane City22105746:3035
5Queensland Lions22810437:2934
6Peninsula2297634:3034
7Rochedale22931033:3130
8Sunshine Coast Wanderers2285926:3429
9Brisbane Roar U2122831129:3727
10Redlands22751032:3326
11Olympic FC22541328:3919
12Eastern Suburbs22231722:709