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AI Match Summary
Moreton Bay Utd play Queensland Lions in the NPL Queensland 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Moreton Bay Utd averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Queensland Lions averaged 2.75 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Moreton Bay Utd won 0, Queensland Lions won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 26, 2023 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Moreton Bay Utd and 1.93 for Queensland Lions. This points to a Queensland Lions double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Queensland Lions has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Moreton Bay Utd.
- Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Queensland Lions.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in NPL Queensland 2023 provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Moreton Bay Utd | Queensland Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 15 | 22 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 2.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Moreton Bay Utd Compare
Queensland Lions Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Moreton Bay Utd scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
Queensland Lions let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Moreton Bay Utd went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Queensland Lions lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gold Coast Knights SC | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 45:21 | 48 |
| 2 | Moreton Bay Utd | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 45:27 | 38 |
| 3 | Gold Coast Utd | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 27:23 | 36 |
| 4 | Brisbane City | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 46:30 | 35 |
| 5 | Queensland Lions | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 37:29 | 34 |
| 6 | Peninsula | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 34:30 | 34 |
| 7 | Rochedale | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 33:31 | 30 |
| 8 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 26:34 | 29 |
| 9 | Brisbane Roar U21 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 29:37 | 27 |
| 10 | Redlands | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 32:33 | 26 |
| 11 | Olympic FC | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 28:39 | 19 |
| 12 | Eastern Suburbs | 22 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 22:70 | 9 |