Sport Picks
Moreton City Excelsior vs Magic United TFA FC
Australia
NPL Queensland Wolter Park 
AI Match Summary
Moreton City Excelsior play Magic United TFA FC in the NPL Queensland. It looks like a close match. Recently, Moreton City Excelsior averaged 2.5 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. Magic United TFA FC averaged 1.88 goals scored and 3 conceded. In past meetings, Moreton City Excelsior won 2, Magic United TFA FC won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 11, 2026 ended 4:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.75 for Moreton City Excelsior and 1.81 for Magic United TFA FC. This points to a Moreton City Excelsior double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Moreton City Excelsior has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Magic United TFA FC.
- Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Moreton City Excelsior.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in NPL Queensland provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Moreton City Excelsior | Magic United TFA FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 29 |
| Wins | 21 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 1 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.5 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 3.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Moreton City Excelsior scored in 84% of their last 37 games.
Magic United TFA FC let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 6.00 goals.
Moreton City Excelsior went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Magic United TFA FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peninsula | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 43:20 | 42 |
| 2 | Queensland Lions | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 48:20 | 38 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 47:28 | 35 |
| 4 | Gold Coast Knights SC | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 40:25 | 32 |
| 5 | Eastern Suburbs | 17 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 32:26 | 28 |
| 6 | Brisbane City | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 38:39 | 26 |
| 7 | Wynnum Wolves | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 29:34 | 26 |
| 8 | Olympic FC | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 31:35 | 20 |
| 9 | Rochedale | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 27:45 | 15 |
| 10 | Brisbane Roar U23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 26:43 | 13 |
| 11 | Magic United TFA FC | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 24:54 | 13 |
| 12 | Gold Coast Utd | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 19:35 | 10 |