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Moreton City Excelsior vs Broadmeadow Magic FC

Australia Australia

Australian Championship Perry Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Moreton City Excelsior play Broadmeadow Magic FC in the Australian Championship. It looks like a close match. Recently, Moreton City Excelsior averaged 1.88 goals scored and 2 conceded. Broadmeadow Magic FC averaged 3 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Moreton City Excelsior won 2, Broadmeadow Magic FC won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 2, 2025 ended 5:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Moreton City Excelsior and 2.50 for Broadmeadow Magic FC. This points to a Moreton City Excelsior double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Moreton City Excelsior
39%
Draws
30%
Broadmeadow Magic FC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Broadmeadow Magic FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Moreton City Excelsior.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Australian Championship provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Moreton City Excelsior Clean Sheet 10%
Broadmeadow Magic FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moreton City Excelsior Broadmeadow Magic FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 18
Draws 4 4
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.88 3
Goals Conceded 2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2025 Australian Championship
Moreton City Excelsior vs Broadmeadow Magic FC
5:1
Oct 12, 2025 Australian Championship
Broadmeadow Magic FC vs Moreton City Excelsior
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moreton City Excelsior Compare

Top Goalscorer Pengelly A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Scott J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Broadmeadow Magic FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Baker J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moreton City Excelsior 30 / 100
Broadmeadow Magic FC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moreton City Excelsior Broadmeadow Magic FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moreton City Excelsior scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Broadmeadow Magic FC let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Moreton City Excelsior went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Broadmeadow Magic FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Moreton City Excelsior VS Broadmeadow Magic FC
1.88 Goals Scored 3
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Melbourne651013:616
2Moreton City Excelsior622215:138
3Sydney Olympic621314:147
4Broadmeadow Magic FC61058:173
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1Heidelberg Utd633015:612
2Marconi Stallions631210:710
3Wollongong631213:1110
4South Hobart60156:201
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1Avondale FC633012:612
2NWS Spirit62228:98
3Preston Lions61417:67
4Canberra Croatia61146:124
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wests APIA641112:413
2MetroStars63127:410
3Bayswater63127:910
4Sydney Utd60155:141