Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Morhange vs A.S. Pagny

France France

Coupe de France 2014/2015
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
55' Event

AI Match Summary

A.S. Pagny in this Coupe de France 2014/2015 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Morhange
25%
Draws
35%
A.S. Pagny
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Morhange

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to A.S. Pagny lately — more wins on the board than Morhange.
  • A.S. Pagny are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • A.S. Pagny arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor A.S. Pagny, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Morhange Clean Sheet 10%
A.S. Pagny Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morhange A.S. Pagny
Matches Played 2 7
Wins 0 4
Draws 0 0
Losses 2 3
Goals Scored 0 1.29
Goals Conceded 3.5 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 2.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2014 Coupe de France
Morhange vs A.S. Pagny
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morhange 10 / 100
A.S. Pagny 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morhange A.S. Pagny

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick A.S. Pagny Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: A.S. Pagny conceded in 71% of 7 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Morhange scored in 0% of their last 2 games.

A.S. Pagny's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Morhange VS A.S. Pagny
0 Goals Scored 1.29
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.14
100% Over 1.5 71%
100% Over 2.5 57%
50% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Morhange

(Home)
14 Nov
Morhange
0 : 4
Thaon
16 Nov
Morhange
0 : 3
A.S. Pagny

A.S. Pagny

(Away)
02 Jan
A.S. Pagny
0 : 2
Sochaux
06 Dec
A.S. Pagny
1 : 0
Alfortville
15 Nov
Ebersheim
1 : 2
A.S. Pagny
04 Jan
A.S. Pagny
1 : 3
Moulins-Yzeure
07 Dec
A.S. Pagny
2 : 1
Sedan
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Auxerre 3
Dinsheim 0
Le Moule 1
Sarreguemines 2
Sochaux 5
Limonest 2
St Etienne Seltz 0
Strasbourg 4
St. Louis Neuweg 2
Mulhouse 1
Colmar 0
Louhans Cuiseaux 1
GOAL FC 4
Clemenceau 2
Vaulx 0
Jura Sud 2
Bressuire 2
Vertou 1
FC Petit-Bard Montpellier 0
Istres 1
Meaux 3
Marck 0
Bethune 1
Amiens SC 2
Plabennec 4
Ginglin Cesson 1
Bellevue Nantes 1
F.C. Guichen 2
Plouvorn 2
Bonchamp 1
Stade Pontivyen 1
Le Poire Sur Vie 3
Metz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Clermont 3
Albi-Marssac 0
Pontarlier 0
Epinal 1
Lorient -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
US Matoury 2
CMS Oissel 1
Zouasia 1
Avranches 6
Cholet 2
Aiglon Lamentin 0
La Rochelle 2
Aurillac 4
Amiens AC 3
St Ouen 0
Dizier 1
Beauvais 2
Laval 7
Saint-Berthevin 0
Eglantine Vierzon 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 2
Paris FC 1
Fontenay 0
Graces 0
Brest 5
Concarneau 2
Excelsior 0
AS Plobannalec Lesconil 1
Vitre 3
Genets 1
Balma 0
Chauvigny 1
Niort 2
Caen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
MOS/3 Rivieres 2
Gravona 1
Vichy 0
Dijon 9
Andrezieux 1
CO Avallon 0
Agde 0
Avenir Lozere 2
Frejus Saint Raphael 3
Bourgoin Jallieu 1
FC Chalon 0
Saint Priest 1
Saint-Omer 3
Saint Lo Manche 1
Herouville 0
Loon Plage 2
Ailly sur Somme FC 3
Lillebonne 2
Cambrai 1
IC Croix 3
Moulins-Yzeure 3
Chauray 2
Girancourt Dommartin 1
Illkirch 2
Sedan 3
Champigny FC 2
Morhange 0
A.S. Pagny 3
Nice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille Sud 1
Aubervilliers 0
Maubeuge 1
Valenciennes 3
Chateauroux 6
Meymac 0
Semeac 0
Tarbes 1
Trelissac 3
Magenta 0
Brive 0
Lucon 5
Dinan 2
Saint-Malo 1
Argentre 0
Angers 10
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Guingamp -
PSG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montpellier -
Toulouse -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bordeaux -
Lyon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lens -
Franciscain 2
Sainte-Genevieve 0
Libourne 1
Lormont 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantes -
Rennes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arras 2
GFC Ajaccio 0
Clermontois 1
Dunkerque 6
St. Maur Lusitanos 4
Creteil 3
Vierzon Foot 1
Moulins 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reims -
Thonon-Evian -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Noisy Le Sec 2
Tefana 1
Saint-Mihiel 0
FC Bobigny 93 4
Nimes 2
Auch 0
Echirolles FC 1
Marseille Endoume 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Boulogne 4
Calais 1
Trouville Deauville 1
Le Havre 3
Fleury-Merogis 1
Riviere de Corps 0
Saverne 1
Sarre Union 4
Marseille -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pezenas 1
Rodeo 0
Saint-Marcellin 0
Grenoble 1
Bastia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille -
Orleans 2
Gonfreville 1
Villerupt Thil 1
Laon US 4
Saint-Louisienne 3
Pontivy 2
Siroco les Abymes 0
Quevilly 2
Red Star 2
US Noeux Les Mines 1
Reims Ste Anne 0
Forbach 1
Lyon - La Duchere 4
Ain Sud Foot 3
Aix 0
Arles-Avignon 4
AC Ajaccio 1
Ales 0
FC Rhone Vallees 1
Borgo FC (Inactive) 2
Martigues 3
Macouria 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Athletico Marseille 3
Tours 2
Saran 0
TBD -
Stade Bordelais -
Fougeres 2
Carquefou 1
Blois Foot 41 0
Le Mans 1
Nancy 3
Montceau 0
Chambly 1
Troyes 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St Etienne -
1/64-finals
Auxerre 4
Sarreguemines 0
Sochaux 0
Strasbourg 1
St. Louis Neuweg 2
Louhans Cuiseaux 1
GOAL FC 1
Jura Sud 3
Bressuire 2
Istres 1
Meaux 1
Amiens SC 3
Plabennec 1
F.C. Guichen 0
Plouvorn 1
Le Poire Sur Vie 2
Metz -
TBD -
Clermont 1
Epinal 2
Lorient -
TBD -
US Matoury 0
Avranches 1
Cholet 3
Aurillac 0
Amiens AC 0
Beauvais 1
Laval 2
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 1
Paris FC 0
Brest 1
Concarneau 3
Vitre 2
Genets 0
Niort 2
Caen -
TBD -
MOS/3 Rivieres 1
Dijon 6
Andrezieux 2
Avenir Lozere 0
Frejus Saint Raphael 0
Saint Priest 1
Saint-Omer 1
Loon Plage 0
Ailly sur Somme FC 0
IC Croix 2
Moulins-Yzeure 4
Illkirch 1
Sedan 1
A.S. Pagny 2
Nice -
TBD -
Lille Sud 0
Valenciennes 1
Chateauroux 1
Tarbes 0
Trelissac 0
Lucon 1
Dinan 2
Angers 1
TBD -
Guingamp -
PSG -
TBD -
TBD -
Montpellier -
Toulouse -
TBD -
TBD -
Bordeaux -
Lyon -
TBD -
TBD -
Lens -
Franciscain 2
Lormont 0
TBD -
Nantes -
Rennes -
TBD -
Arras 2
Dunkerque 4
St. Maur Lusitanos 3
Moulins 1
TBD -
Reims -
Thonon-Evian -
TBD -
Noisy Le Sec 0
FC Bobigny 93 1
Nimes 2
Marseille Endoume 1
TBD -
Monaco -
Boulogne 2
Le Havre 0
Fleury-Merogis 0
Sarre Union 1
Marseille -
TBD -
Pezenas 1
Grenoble 2
Bastia -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille -
Orleans 7
Laon US 0
Saint-Louisienne 1
Quevilly 2
Red Star 3
Forbach 0
Lyon - La Duchere 1
Arles-Avignon 3
AC Ajaccio 3
Borgo FC (Inactive) 2
Martigues 1
Athletico Marseille 2
Tours 3
Stade Bordelais 2
Fougeres 1
Le Mans 2
Nancy 3
Troyes 1
TBD -
St Etienne -
1/32-finals
Auxerre 1
Strasbourg 0
St. Louis Neuweg 0
Jura Sud 3
Bressuire 2
Amiens SC 1
Plabennec 1
Le Poire Sur Vie 3
Metz 2
Epinal 1
Lorient 0
Avranches 1
Cholet 1
Beauvais 0
Laval 0
Brest 1
Concarneau 1
Niort 0
Caen 2
Dijon 3
Andrezieux 2
Saint Priest 0
Saint-Omer 0
IC Croix 5
Moulins-Yzeure 3
A.S. Pagny 1
Nice 0
Valenciennes 2
Chateauroux 1
Lucon 0
Dinan 0
Guingamp 3
PSG 3
Montpellier 0
Toulouse 1
Bordeaux 2
Lyon 3
Lens 2
Franciscain 0
Nantes 4
Rennes 2
Dunkerque 1
St. Maur Lusitanos 1
Reims 3
Thonon-Evian 3
FC Bobigny 93 0
Nimes 0
Monaco 2
Boulogne 5
Sarre Union 4
Marseille 3
Grenoble 4
Bastia 2
Lille 0
Orleans 3
Quevilly 4
Red Star 2
Arles-Avignon 1
AC Ajaccio 0
Athletico Marseille 3
Tours 3
Le Mans 1
Nancy 0
St Etienne 1
1/16-finals
Auxerre 1
Jura Sud 0
Bressuire 0
Le Poire Sur Vie 1
Metz 3
Avranches 0
Cholet 1
Brest 3
Concarneau 1
Dijon 0
Andrezieux 1
IC Croix 2
Moulins-Yzeure 2
Valenciennes 0
Chateauroux 0
Guingamp 2
PSG 2
Bordeaux 1
Lyon 2
Nantes 3
Rennes 2
Reims 1
Thonon-Evian 0
Monaco 2
Boulogne 1
Grenoble 0
Bastia 1
Quevilly 2
Red Star 2
Athletico Marseille 0
Tours 3
St Etienne 5
1/8-finals
Auxerre 2
Le Poire Sur Vie 1
Metz 0
Brest 1
Concarneau 1
IC Croix 0
Moulins-Yzeure 1
Guingamp 3
PSG 2
Nantes 0
Rennes 1
Monaco 3
Boulogne 2
Quevilly 0
Red Star 1
St Etienne 2
Quarter-finals
Auxerre 1
Brest 0
Concarneau 1
Guingamp 2
PSG 2
Monaco 0
Boulogne 1
St Etienne 2
Semi-finals
Auxerre 1
Guingamp 0
PSG 4
St Etienne 1
Final
Auxerre 0
PSG 1