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Mori vs Breno

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Vita D.
45' Event
En Naimi A.
68' Event
Bassini G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 game between Mori and Breno finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Breno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mori
20%
Draws
80%
Breno
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Breno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Breno come out ahead of Mori on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Breno's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Mori Clean Sheet 20%
Breno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mori Breno
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 2 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 22 15
Goals Scored 0.63 1.06
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Mori vs Breno
1:2
Nov 19, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Breno vs Mori
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mori Compare

Top Goalscorer En Naimi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Breno Compare

Top Goalscorer Vita D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bassini G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mori 10 / 100
Breno 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mori Breno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Breno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Breno let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Mori's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Away concern: Breno has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Breno
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mori

(Home)
05 May
Portogruaro
9 : 0
Mori
28 Apr
Mori
0 : 2
Virtus Bolzano
21 Apr
Mestre
2 : 0
Mori
14 Apr
Mori
1 : 3
Cjarlins Muzane
07 Apr
Este
3 : 0
Mori
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Breno

(Away)
10 May
Breno
0 : 1
Pavia
03 May
Breno
2 : 1
Villa Valle
26 Apr
Varesina
2 : 2
Breno
19 Apr
Breno
0 : 2
Brusaporto
12 Apr
Real Calepina
1 : 1
Breno
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clodiense 34 25 5 4 49:17 80
2 Dolomiti Bellunesi 34 19 9 6 56:25 66
3 Treviso 34 19 3 12 51:37 60
4 Bassano Virtus 34 15 9 10 35:30 54
5 Campodarsego 34 12 15 7 42:26 51
6 Este 34 13 12 9 44:33 51
7 Montecchio Maggiore 34 14 9 11 48:40 51
8 Adriese 34 13 11 10 54:41 50
9 Portogruaro 34 13 9 12 52:43 48
10 Mestre 34 13 9 12 34:37 48
11 Montebelluna 34 11 12 11 35:41 45
12 Chions 34 10 11 13 40:50 41
13 Luparense FC 34 10 9 15 38:41 39
14 Breno 34 8 13 13 39:49 37
15 Cjarlins Muzane 34 7 14 13 30:37 35
16 Castegnato 34 7 12 15 39:58 33
17 Virtus Bolzano 34 4 12 18 25:52 24
18 Mori 34 3 6 25 22:76 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Out)