Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Morlautern vs Arminia Ludwigshafen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Morlautern play Arminia Ludwigshafen in the Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar 2024/2025. Arminia Ludwigshafen are favorites here. Recently, Morlautern averaged 1.47 goals scored and 3.2 conceded. Arminia Ludwigshafen averaged 1.74 goals scored and 2.32 conceded. In past meetings, Morlautern won 2, Arminia Ludwigshafen won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 8, 2025 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.73 for Morlautern and 1.49 for Arminia Ludwigshafen. This points to a Arminia Ludwigshafen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Morlautern
15%
Draws
58%
Arminia Ludwigshafen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arminia Ludwigshafen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Morlautern picked up more points recently compared to Arminia Ludwigshafen.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.73 vs 1.49 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 97%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Morlautern Clean Sheet 16%
Arminia Ludwigshafen Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 87%
Second Half Goal 92%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morlautern Arminia Ludwigshafen
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 1.47 1.74
Goals Conceded 3.2 2.32

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2025 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Morlautern vs Arminia Ludwigshafen
0:4
Aug 23, 2024 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Arminia Ludwigshafen vs Morlautern
2:0
Apr 5, 2024 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Morlautern vs Arminia Ludwigshafen
3:2
Sep 16, 2023 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Arminia Ludwigshafen vs Morlautern
1:2
Nov 12, 2022 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Arminia Ludwigshafen vs Morlautern
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morlautern Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Arminia Ludwigshafen Compare

Top Goalscorer Straub S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pantano N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morlautern 28 / 100
Arminia Ludwigshafen 54 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morlautern Arminia Ludwigshafen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arminia Ludwigshafen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Arminia Ludwigshafen & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.43
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Morlautern attacking → ← attacking Arminia Ludwigshafen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morlautern scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Arminia Ludwigshafen let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Morlautern went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Arminia Ludwigshafen lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 37
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Schott Mainz342941117:2491
2Kaiserslautern II342554121:4580
3Pirmasens34239292:2778
4TuS Koblenz34232970:3871
5Worms341671166:5955
6Gonsenheim341491171:5851
7Engers341451563:6647
8Rot-Weiss Koblenz341291356:5745
9Arminia Ludwigshafen341351667:6344
10Karbach341081645:6338
11Diefflen34991661:7936
12Idar-Oberstein341061842:6936
13Eisbachtal34981763:8435
14Eppelborn341042048:9734
15Auersmacher34961957:7433
16Mechtersheim34891739:7433
17Viktoria Herxheim341032145:8933
18Morlautern34642449:10622