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Mornar Bar vs Arsenal Tivat

Montenegro Montenegro

Prva Crnogorska Liga Stadion Topolica
Sun, Aug 9, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mornar Bar host Arsenal Tivat in the Prva Crnogorska Liga. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Arsenal Tivat have shipped 2.5 goals a game lately, while Mornar Bar have conceded 0.38 and scored 1.13. Head-to-head, Mornar Bar have won 2 to Arsenal Tivat's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.81 - 0.69) back Mornar Bar to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mornar Bar
6%
Draws
4%
Arsenal Tivat
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mornar Bar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Mornar Bar have won more games recently than Arsenal Tivat.
  • Win probability leans Mornar Bar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Prva Crnogorska Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Mornar Bar Clean Sheet 20%
Arsenal Tivat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mornar Bar Arsenal Tivat
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 0.38 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar Bar
0:1
Feb 21, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mornar Bar vs Arsenal Tivat
1:2
Oct 8, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar Bar
0:1
Aug 10, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mornar Bar vs Arsenal Tivat
2:2
May 14, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar Bar
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mornar Bar 85 / 100
Arsenal Tivat 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mornar Bar Arsenal Tivat

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mornar Bar found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Arsenal Tivat let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Mornar Bar remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mornar Bar VS Arsenal Tivat
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Buducnost00000:00
2Decic00000:00
3Jezero00000:00
4Petrovac00000:00
5Sutjeska00000:00
6Mornar Bar00000:00
7Bokelj00000:00
8Arsenal Tivat00000:00
9Otrant00000:00
10Mladost DG00000:00