Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mornar Bar vs Bokelj

Montenegro Montenegro

Prva Crnogorska Liga Stadion Topolica, Bar
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Soussi A.
18' Event
Soussi A.
59'
Sub
Mukovic F. In: Radusinovic N.
Out: Mukovic F.

AI Match Summary

The Prva Crnogorska Liga game between Mornar Bar and Bokelj finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mornar Bar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Mornar Bar
35%
Draws
30%
Bokelj
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mornar Bar come out ahead of Bokelj on wins alone.
  • Mornar Bar are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Prva Crnogorska Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Mornar Bar Clean Sheet 68%
Bokelj Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mornar Bar Bokelj
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.37 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.53 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mornar Bar vs Bokelj
2:0
May 10, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mornar Bar vs Bokelj
0:0
Mar 11, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Bokelj vs Mornar Bar
1:2
Nov 9, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mornar Bar vs Bokelj
0:0
Sep 13, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Bokelj vs Mornar Bar
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mornar Bar Compare

Top Goalscorer Soussi A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Bokelj Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mornar Bar 86 / 100
Bokelj 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mornar Bar Bokelj

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mornar Bar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mornar Bar's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Mornar Bar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Bokelj conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mornar Bar VS Bokelj
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mornar Bar

(Home)
14 Sept
Mornar Bar
0 : 1
Otrant
08 Sept
Sutjeska
1 : 0
Mornar Bar
03 Sept
Mornar Bar
2 : 0
Bokelj
29 Aug
Petrovac
1 : 1
Mornar Bar
21 Aug
Mornar Bar
2 : 1
Buducnost
Page 1 of 6

Bokelj

(Away)
15 Sept
Jezero
1 : 1
Bokelj
10 Sept
Bokelj
2 : 1
Otrant
03 Sept
Mornar Bar
2 : 0
Bokelj
30 Aug
Buducnost
0 : 0
Bokelj
23 Aug
Bokelj
0 : 0
Arsenal Tivat
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buducnost 9 4 2 3 11:7 14
2 Sutjeska 9 4 2 3 11:7 14
3 Decic 8 4 2 2 9:6 14
4 Otrant 8 4 1 3 11:9 13
5 Mornar Bar 8 3 3 2 8:6 12
6 Bokelj 8 3 3 2 5:5 12
7 Mladost DG 8 3 1 4 8:12 10
8 Jezero 8 2 3 3 8:11 9
9 Petrovac 9 1 5 3 7:9 8
10 Arsenal Tivat 9 1 4 4 5:11 7
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Druga Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Druga Liga 2027/2028 (Main)