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Mornar Bar vs Celik Niksic

Montenegro Montenegro

Druga Liga 2017/2018
Sat, May 26, 2018
3 - 0
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mornar Bar host Celik Niksic in the Druga Liga 2017/2018. Mornar Bar go into this one as the clear favorite. Celik Niksic have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while Mornar Bar have conceded 0.25 and scored 1.75. Past meetings favor Mornar Bar slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 26, 2018, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.48 xG vs 0.63) point toward Mornar Bar. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mornar Bar
6%
Draws
4%
Celik Niksic
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mornar Bar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mornar Bar lately — more wins on the board than Celik Niksic.
  • Win probability leans Mornar Bar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Mornar Bar Clean Sheet 20%
Celik Niksic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mornar Bar Celik Niksic
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 19 1
Draws 7 3
Losses 7 26
Goals Scored 1.75 0
Goals Conceded 0.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2018 Druga Liga
Mornar Bar vs Celik Niksic
3:0
Nov 12, 2017 Druga Liga
Celik Niksic vs Mornar Bar
0:4
Aug 30, 2017 Druga Liga
Mornar Bar vs Celik Niksic
0:0
May 14, 2017 Druga Liga
Mornar Bar vs Celik Niksic
2:0
Mar 25, 2017 Druga Liga
Celik Niksic vs Mornar Bar
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mornar Bar 85 / 100
Celik Niksic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mornar Bar Celik Niksic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celik Niksic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: Celik Niksic registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Mornar Bar's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Mornar Bar VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mornar Bar

(Home)
16 Jul
Mornar Bar
1 : 2
Atletic Escaldes
09 Jul
Atletic Escaldes
2 : 1
Mornar Bar
01 Jul
Mornar Bar
0 : 0
Petrovac
01 Jul
Zemun
1 : 2
Mornar Bar
24 Jun
Mornar Bar
1 : 0
Sutjeska
Page 1 of 7

Celik Niksic

(Away)
26 May
Mornar Bar
3 : 0
Celik Niksic
20 May
Celik Niksic
0 : 3
Jezero
16 May
Berane
4 : 1
Celik Niksic
13 May
Celik Niksic
0 : 4
Jedinstvo
06 May
FK Podgorica
4 : 0
Celik Niksic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mornar Bar331911348:1168
2FK Podgorica33187859:3361
3Lovcen331710656:3161
4Bokelj331511749:2056
5Otrant33159955:3251
6Berane331561257:4251
7Jedinstvo331441534:3946
8Igalo331291238:3345
9Jezero331281334:3844
10Ibar331191331:3642
11FK Cetinje33332713:7912
12Celik Niksic33232814:948
Promotion - Prva Crnogorska Liga 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Druga Liga 2017/2018 (Promotion)
Promotion - Druga Liga 2017/2018 (Promotion)