Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mornar Bar vs Otrant

Montenegro Montenegro

Prva Crnogorska Liga Stadion Topolica, Bar
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Banovic B.
38' Event
Taipi A.
46'
Sub
Agovic J. In: Kolic S.
Out: Agovic J.

AI Match Summary

Otrant in this Prva Crnogorska Liga matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Otrant.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Mornar Bar
15%
Draws
48%
Otrant
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Otrant

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Mornar Bar have won more games recently than Otrant.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Prva Crnogorska Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Mornar Bar Clean Sheet 68%
Otrant Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mornar Bar Otrant
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 19 16
Draws 7 3
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.37 1.82
Goals Conceded 0.53 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mornar Bar vs Otrant
0:1
Apr 6, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Otrant vs Mornar Bar
6:2
Dec 7, 2024 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mornar Bar vs Otrant
1:0
Oct 2, 2024 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Otrant vs Mornar Bar
1:2
Aug 4, 2024 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mornar Bar vs Otrant
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mornar Bar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Otrant Compare

Top Goalscorer Taipi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mornar Bar 41 / 100
Otrant 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mornar Bar Otrant

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mornar Bar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mornar Bar found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Otrant let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Mornar Bar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mornar Bar VS Otrant
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mornar Bar

(Home)
14 Sept
Mornar Bar
0 : 1
Otrant
08 Sept
Sutjeska
1 : 0
Mornar Bar
03 Sept
Mornar Bar
2 : 0
Bokelj
29 Aug
Petrovac
1 : 1
Mornar Bar
21 Aug
Mornar Bar
2 : 1
Buducnost
Page 1 of 6

Otrant

(Away)
14 Sept
Mornar Bar
0 : 1
Otrant
10 Sept
Bokelj
2 : 1
Otrant
05 Sept
Otrant
2 : 0
Buducnost
30 Aug
Arsenal Tivat
1 : 2
Otrant
23 Aug
Otrant
0 : 3
Decic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Decic 8 4 2 2 9:6 14
2 Otrant 8 4 1 3 11:9 13
3 Mornar Bar 8 3 3 2 8:6 12
4 Bokelj 8 3 3 2 5:5 12
5 Sutjeska 8 3 2 3 9:7 11
6 Buducnost 8 3 2 3 7:6 11
7 Mladost DG 8 3 1 4 8:12 10
8 Jezero 8 2 3 3 8:11 9
9 Petrovac 8 1 5 2 6:5 8
10 Arsenal Tivat 8 1 4 3 5:9 7
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Druga Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Druga Liga 2027/2028 (Main)