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Mornar Bar vs Petrovac - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Montenegro Montenegro

Prva Crnogorska Liga Stadion Topolica, Bar
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mornar Bar host Petrovac in the Prva Crnogorska Liga. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Mornar Bar at 1.47 goals for, 0.66 against; Petrovac at 0.63 for, 1.11 against. Past meetings favor Mornar Bar slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 29, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.00, favoring Mornar Bar. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Mornar Bar
35%
Draws
19%
Petrovac
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mornar Bar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Mornar Bar have won more games recently than Petrovac.
  • Mornar Bar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Mornar Bar Clean Sheet 20%
Petrovac Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mornar Bar Petrovac
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 19 3
Draws 9 11
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1.47 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.66 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Petrovac vs Mornar Bar
1:1
Jul 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Mornar Bar vs Petrovac
0:0
May 20, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mornar Bar vs Petrovac
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Petrovac vs Mornar Bar
0:2
Nov 30, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mornar Bar vs Petrovac
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mornar Bar 85 / 100
Petrovac 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mornar Bar Petrovac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mornar Bar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mornar Bar scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Petrovac's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Mornar Bar went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mornar Bar VS Petrovac
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mornar Bar

(Home)
08 Oct
Mornar Bar
3 : 3
Jezero
02 Oct
Mladost DG
1 : 5
Mornar Bar
20 Sept
Decic
1 : 1
Mornar Bar
14 Sept
Mornar Bar
0 : 1
Otrant
08 Sept
Sutjeska
1 : 0
Mornar Bar
Page 1 of 7

Petrovac

(Away)
28 Sept
Petrovac
0 : 1
Mladost DG
18 Sept
Buducnost
4 : 1
Petrovac
14 Sept
Petrovac
1 : 2
Arsenal Tivat
09 Sept
Decic
1 : 1
Petrovac
04 Sept
Petrovac
0 : 0
Sutjeska
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Otrant 10 5 2 3 17:12 17
2 Buducnost 10 4 3 3 11:7 15
3 Sutjeska 10 4 3 3 11:7 15
4 Decic 9 4 3 2 10:7 15
5 Bokelj 9 4 3 2 8:5 15
6 Mornar Bar 10 3 5 2 12:10 14
7 Mladost DG 10 3 2 5 10:17 11
8 Jezero 10 2 4 4 12:18 10
9 Petrovac 9 1 5 3 7:9 8
10 Arsenal Tivat 9 1 4 4 5:11 7
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Druga Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Druga Liga 2027/2028 (Main)