Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mornar Bar vs Sutjeska

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Dubljevic B.

AI Match Summary

Mornar Bar in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mornar Bar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Mornar Bar
30%
Draws
43%
Sutjeska
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sutjeska

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Sutjeska haven't matched Mornar Bar's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sutjeska a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Mornar Bar Clean Sheet 20%
Sutjeska Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mornar Bar Sutjeska
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 19 12
Draws 7 4
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.37 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.53 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Sutjeska vs Mornar Bar
1:0
Jun 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Mornar Bar vs Sutjeska
1:0
Apr 8, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mornar Bar vs Sutjeska
2:1
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Sutjeska vs Mornar Bar
2:2
Dec 10, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Sutjeska vs Mornar Bar
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mornar Bar Compare

Top Goalscorer Dubljevic B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Sutjeska Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mornar Bar 24 / 100
Sutjeska 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mornar Bar Sutjeska

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sutjeska Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mornar Bar scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Sutjeska has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Mornar Bar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mornar Bar VS Sutjeska
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mornar Bar

(Home)
14 Sept
Mornar Bar
0 : 1
Otrant
08 Sept
Sutjeska
1 : 0
Mornar Bar
03 Sept
Mornar Bar
2 : 0
Bokelj
29 Aug
Petrovac
1 : 1
Mornar Bar
21 Aug
Mornar Bar
2 : 1
Buducnost
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Sutjeska

(Away)
13 Sept
Sutjeska
2 : 0
Decic
08 Sept
Sutjeska
1 : 0
Mornar Bar
04 Sept
Petrovac
0 : 0
Sutjeska
28 Aug
Sutjeska
5 : 1
Mladost DG
22 Aug
Jezero
0 : 0
Sutjeska
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