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Morne des Esses vs Trenelle - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Morne des Esses host Trenelle in the Trophee Gerard Janvion. Little to choose between these two on current form. Morne des Esses have averaged 1.14 scored and 1.61 conceded recently, against Trenelle's 1.46 scored and 1.46 conceded. Head-to-head, Morne des Esses have won 0 to Trenelle's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.25) point toward Trenelle. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Morne des Esses
15%
Draws
34%
Trenelle
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Morne des Esses

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Morne des Esses haven't matched Trenelle's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Morne des Esses a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Trophee Gerard Janvion form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Morne des Esses Clean Sheet 19%
Trenelle Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morne des Esses Trenelle
Matches Played 28 35
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 12
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.14 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Trenelle vs Morne des Esses
0:0
Nov 8, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Morne des Esses vs Trenelle
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morne des Esses 85 / 100
Trenelle 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morne des Esses Trenelle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morne des Esses Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Morne des Esses's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Trenelle let in goals in 74% of their last 35 matches.

Trenelle lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Morne des Esses VS Trenelle
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Morne des Esses

(Home)
12 Sept
RC Lorrain
2 : 3
Morne des Esses
05 Sept
Morne des Esses
1 : 3
RC Saint Joseph
06 Jun
Franciscain
2 : 1
Morne des Esses
30 May
Morne des Esses
4 : 1
Golden Star
16 May
Club Colonial
3 : 1
Morne des Esses
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Trenelle

(Away)
12 Sept
Trenelle
1 : 5
Franciscain
05 Sept
Golden Star
1 : 1
Trenelle
06 Jun
Inter de Sainte-Anne
3 : 0
Trenelle
30 May
Trenelle
2 : 0
Samaritaine
16 May
Robert
4 : 1
Trenelle
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RC Saint Joseph 2 2 0 0 9:1 8
2 Franciscain 2 2 0 0 9:2 8
3 Inter de Sainte-Anne 2 2 0 0 3:0 8
4 Assaut 2 1 1 0 6:1 6
5 Golden Lion 2 1 1 0 3:2 6
6 Morne des Esses 2 1 0 1 4:5 5
7 Club Peleen 2 1 0 1 2:6 5
8 Samaritaine 2 0 2 0 4:4 4
9 Golden Star 2 0 1 1 1:2 3
10 Trenelle 2 0 1 1 2:6 3
11 RC Riviere-Pilote 2 0 1 1 1:2 3
12 Club Colonial 2 0 1 1 2:4 3
13 RC Lorrain 2 0 0 2 3:7 2
14 Espoir 2 0 0 2 0:7 2
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup (Main)