Sport Picks

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Morocco U17 vs Mali U17

World World

World Cup U17 2025 Aspire Zone, Doha
Morocco U17 Logo

Morocco U17

3 - 2
FT
Mali U17 Logo

Mali U17

Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Keita L.
29' Event
Baha Z.
Assist: Zekri M.
37'
Sinaba L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Morocco U17 in this World Cup U17 2025 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Morocco U17
20%
Draws
29%
Mali U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Morocco U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Mali U17 average 1.94 goals a game right now, well clear of Morocco U17's 1.71.
  • Morocco U17 are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Morocco U17, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Morocco U17 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Morocco U17 Clean Sheet 12%
Mali U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morocco U17 Mali U17
Matches Played 35 32
Wins 18 18
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.71 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.09 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 World Cup U17
Morocco U17 vs Mali U17
3:2
Apr 19, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Morocco U17 vs Mali U17
1:0
Nov 25, 2023 World Cup U17
Mali U17 vs Morocco U17
1:0
May 14, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Morocco U17 vs Mali U17
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morocco U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer El Aoud I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Baha Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Mali U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Berthe T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morocco U17 35 / 100
Mali U17 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morocco U17 Mali U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morocco U17 scored in 71% of their last 35 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Morocco U17 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Mali U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Morocco U17 VS Mali U17
3.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Morocco U17

(Home)
01 Jun
Morocco U17
0 : 2
Egypt U17
28 May
Morocco U17
1 : 2
Senegal U17
24 May
Morocco U17
1 : 0
Cameroon U17
19 May
Morocco U17
2 : 1
Egypt U17
16 May
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2
Morocco U17
Page 1 of 7

Mali U17

(Away)
24 May
Senegal U17
2 : 1
Mali U17
20 May
Mali U17
2 : 1
Tanzania U17
17 May
Mozambique U17
1 : 1
Mali U17
14 May
Mali U17
0 : 0
Angola U17
18 Nov
Morocco U17
3 : 2
Mali U17
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Argentina U17 2
Mexico U17 3
Portugal U17 2
Belgium U17 1
Switzerland U17 3
Egypt U17 1
Ireland U17 2
Canada U17 1
USA U17 1
Morocco U17 2
Zambia U17 1
Mali U17 3
Brazil U17 1
Paraguay U17 0
France U17 2
Colombia U17 0
Austria U17 2
Tunisia U17 0
South Korea U17 0
England U17 2
Venezuela U17 1
North Korea U17 2
Japan U17 3
South Africa U17 0
Italy U17 2
Czech Republic U17 0
Croatia U17 1
Uzbekistan U17 2
Senegal U17 0
Uganda U17 1
Germany U17 0
Burkina Faso U17 1
1/8-finals
Mexico U17 0
Portugal U17 5
Switzerland U17 3
Ireland U17 1
Morocco U17 3
Mali U17 2
Brazil U17 2
France U17 1
Austria U17 4
England U17 0
North Korea U17 1
Japan U17 2
Italy U17 3
Uzbekistan U17 2
Uganda U17 1
Burkina Faso U17 2
Quarter-finals
Portugal U17 2
Switzerland U17 0
Morocco U17 1
Brazil U17 2
Austria U17 1
Japan U17 0
Italy U17 1
Burkina Faso U17 0
Semi-finals
Portugal U17 1
Brazil U17 0
Austria U17 2
Italy U17 0
Final
Portugal U17 1
Austria U17 0
Brazil U17 0
Italy U17 1