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Morocco U17 vs Tunisia U17 Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U17 Stade Prince Moulay Hassan, Rabat
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Jlidi Y.
Assist: Away M.
45'
Jlidi Y.
45'
Ibn Salah O.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Morocco U17
15%
Draws
8%
Tunisia U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Morocco U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Tunisia U17 haven't matched Morocco U17's recent run of results.
  • Morocco U17 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Morocco U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Morocco U17 Clean Sheet 14%
Tunisia U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morocco U17 Tunisia U17
Matches Played 40 32
Wins 23 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.7 1.31
Goals Conceded 1 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.33 1.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Morocco U17 vs Tunisia U17
1:1
Nov 17, 2024 Friendly International
Morocco U17 vs Tunisia U17
2:2
Apr 20, 2024 Friendly International
Tunisia U17 vs Morocco U17
1:2
Mar 25, 2024 Friendly International
Tunisia U17 vs Morocco U17
1:2
Mar 22, 2024 Friendly International
Tunisia U17 vs Morocco U17
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morocco U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hadidi I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.79
Avg xA / game 1.17

Tunisia U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jlidi Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.43
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morocco U17 84 / 100
Tunisia U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morocco U17 Tunisia U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morocco U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tunisia U17 conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

Morocco U17's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 40 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Morocco U17 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Morocco U17 VS Tunisia U17
3.38 Goals Scored 1.14
2 Goals Conceded 1.29
100% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 29%
50% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Morocco U17

(Home)
01 Jun
Morocco U17
0 : 2
Egypt U17
28 May
Morocco U17
1 : 2
Senegal U17
24 May
Morocco U17
1 : 0
Cameroon U17
19 May
Morocco U17
2 : 1
Egypt U17
16 May
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2
Morocco U17
Page 1 of 8

Tunisia U17

(Away)
19 May
Tunisia U17
0 : 1
Ethiopia U17
16 May
Tunisia U17
1 : 2
Egypt U17
13 May
Morocco U17
1 : 1
Tunisia U17
15 Nov
Austria U17
2 : 0
Tunisia U17
09 Nov
Belgium U17
2 : 0
Tunisia U17
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco U17 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
2 Egypt U17 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Ethiopia U17 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Tunisia U17 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast U17 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Cameroon U17 3 2 0 1 2:2 6
3 Uganda U17 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
4 D.R. Congo U17 3 0 0 3 0:5 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tanzania U17 3 2 0 1 7:2 6
2 Mali U17 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 Mozambique U17 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
4 Angola U17 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal U17 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
2 Algeria U17 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Ghana U17 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
4 South Africa U17 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (World Cup - Promotion)