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Morocco U17 W vs Italy U17 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World

World Cup Women U17 2025 Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah, Rabat

Morocco U17 W

1 - 3

Italy U17 W

Our Tip

Match Events

Galli G.

Assist: Volpini V.

13'

Galli G.

23'

Giudici R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Italy U17 W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Morocco U17 W

15%

Draws

46%

Italy U17 W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Italy U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence

Italy U17 W carry the better recent record into this one.
46% — that's where the model lands on Italy U17 W taking it.
Italy U17 W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Italy U17 W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Morocco U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Italy U17 W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Morocco U17 W	Italy U17 W
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	12	15
Draws	3	5
Losses	13	8
Goals Scored	1.61	1.86
Goals Conceded	1.71	1.21
Expected Goals (xG)	0.98	1.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2025 World Cup Women U17

Morocco U17 W vs Italy U17 W

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morocco U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer El Mesmoudi D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.75

Avg xA / game 0.49

Italy U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Galli G.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Giudici R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.8

Avg xA / game 1.1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morocco U17 W 18 / 100

Italy U17 W 57 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Morocco U17 W Italy U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Italy U17 W Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Morocco U17 W scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Italy U17 W conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Morocco U17 W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Morocco U17 W VS Italy U17 W

0.83 Goals Scored 1.63

2.33 Goals Conceded 1.13

67% Over 1.5 88%

67% Over 2.5 63%

33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Morocco U17 W

(Home)

14 Apr

Turkey U18 W

2 : 1

Morocco U17 W

08 Apr

Uzbekistan U18 W

0 : 1

Morocco U17 W

12 Feb

USA U17 W

5 : 0

Morocco U17 W

09 Feb

Scotland U17 W

1 : 2

Morocco U17 W

28 Oct

North Korea U17 W

6 : 1

Morocco U17 W

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Italy U17 W

(Away)

07 Oct

Italy U17 W

1 : 3

Austria U17 W

17 Sept

Italy U17 W

2 : 2

Hungary U17 W

15 Sept

Italy U17 W

2 : 1

Hungary U17 W

19 Mar

Italy U17 W

2 : 3

England U17 W

16 Mar

Italy U17 W

3 : 0

Turkey U17 W

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